Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:46:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1e6b…3d9c
crypto · 40 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$20 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$21 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized+$21
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses27 / 12
Open positions1
Markets (closed)39 / 40
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day71.0
Drawdown68%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 39 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days+$21
14 days+$21
30 days+$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 69¢ 57¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$12 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $24 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $25 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $8 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)-5.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 +4.0% -5.9% 69% 67% -1.3%
≤30d 39 +4.0% -5.9% 69% 67% -1.3%
≤90d 39 +4.0% -5.9% 69% 67% -1.3%
all 39 +4.0% -5.9% 69% 67% -1.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover71.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.9% 67% -1.3%
10% ← realistic here -14.9% 46% -10.7%
15% -23.1% 31% -19.3%
20% -30.7% 10% -27.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.17 · official $4.17 (match) · 84 history records