Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:37:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1e70…081b
sports · 20 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$15 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$31 · open +$7
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
Net worth$327
Realized−$31
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses4 / 8
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions8
Markets (closed)12 / 20
History coverage9d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day3.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 8 History 12 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$31
7 days−$31
14 days−$31
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 59¢ 74¢ $40 $50 +$10 (+26%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 54¢ $40 $40 +$0 (+1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 Over 84¢ 84¢ $40 $40 −$0 (-1%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Under 57¢ 56¢ $40 $40 −$0 (-1%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 Over 32¢ 32¢ $40 $39 −$1 (-2%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $40 $39 −$1 (-2%)
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $40 $39 −$1 (-2%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $40 $39 −$1 (-2%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs FUT Esports 56¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 24¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 60¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Jun 14 $20 −$3 -17%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $144 −$47 -33%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $10 +$45 +442%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $20 +$6 +29%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $10 +$31 +303%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $41 −$14 -35%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $20 +$26 +129%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $25 −$5 -20%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $20 −$20 -99%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 61% +$9
other 39% −$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 59¢ $40 1h
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $41 1h
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $41 1h
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 32¢ $41 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 30¢ $41 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 53¢ $41 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $41 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 84¢ $40 1h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London SELL Leviatán Esports 49¢ $17 2h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $97 2h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $10 11h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes $10 11h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL XLG Gaming 66¢ $41 18h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 16¢ $10 20h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 21¢ $13 20h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 32¢ $20 20h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 28¢ $14 21h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 24¢ $5 25h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Leviatán Esports 57¢ $20 25h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $20 25h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 60¢ $20 26h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 91¢ $26 26h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $20 26h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 69¢ $20 26h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 40¢ $20 26h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 77¢ $20 26h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 43¢ $20 26h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $144 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +26.6% +14.5% 33% 33% -17.8%
≤30d 12 +26.6% +14.5% 33% 33% -17.8%
≤90d 12 +26.6% +14.5% 33% 33% -17.8%
all 12 +26.6% +14.5% 33% 33% -17.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +14.5% 33% -17.8%
10% +3.5% 33% -25.7%
15% -6.5% 25% -32.9%
20% -15.6% 25% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $327.41 · official $327.43 (match) · 40 history records