Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:55:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1e72…c16a
other · 1289 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$4,082 +41%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,980 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,980
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses1211 / 488
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1699 / 1289
History coverage8d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day257.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit40%
Chart Positions 0 History 1699 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,062
7 days−$1,995
14 days−$1,980
30 days−$1,980
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 68% +$86
crypto 32% +$53
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 25m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 25m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 30m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-30.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1490 -26.5% -33.5% 68% 15% -26.9%
≤30d 1699 -23.1% -30.5% 71% 16% -24.5%
≤90d 1699 -23.1% -30.5% 71% 16% -24.5%
all 1699 -23.1% -30.5% 71% 16% -24.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover257.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.5% 16% -24.5%
10% ← realistic here -37.1% 15% -31.7%
15% -43.2% 2% -38.3%
20% -48.8% 1% -44.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.47 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records