Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:48:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1e83…81d1
sports · 25 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$720 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$913 · open +$63
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$466
Realized−$913
Unrealized+$63
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses7 / 14
Est. fees paid−$38
Open positions4
Markets (closed)21 / 25
History coverage1d
Avg bet$205
Trades / day72.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 4 History 21 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$913
7 days−$913
14 days−$913
30 days−$913
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 15¢ 17¢ $200 $227 +$27 (+13%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 63¢ 70¢ $151 $170 +$19 (+13%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 12¢ 16¢ $50 $67 +$17 (+34%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 77¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$1 (+30%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 17¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 42¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 39¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 28¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 59¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 96¢ $650 $0 −$650 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 22¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $203 −$194 -95%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $701 +$31 +4%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $1,037 −$50 -5%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $651 −$650 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $750 +$53 +7%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $117 +$15 +13%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $61 −$60 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $110 +$8 +7%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $82 −$1 -1%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $47 −$46 -99%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $101 +$29 +29%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $20 −$1 -5%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $100 +$11 +10%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 −$4 -77%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $8 +$1 +14%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $3 −$2 -50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% −$852
other 3% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming $51 0m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 12¢ $51 2m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 15¢ $51 6m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 65¢ $154 8m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 69¢ $101 9m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 99¢ $552 19m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 88¢ $131 26m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 88¢ $100 27m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 42¢ $0 29m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 56¢ $101 29m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit $10 30m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 64¢ $101 32m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 67¢ $202 34m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 32¢ $20 35m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 79¢ $50 54m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 30¢ $51 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 35¢ $51 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 45¢ $51 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 62¢ $51 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 100¢ $375 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 97¢ $128 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 99¢ $357 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 97¢ $128 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 94¢ $100 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 96¢ $400 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 96¢ $100 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 92¢ $100 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 99¢ $829 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 94¢ $99 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 94¢ $100 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-52.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -47.1% -52.2% 33% 19% -30.3%
≤30d 21 -47.1% -52.2% 33% 19% -30.3%
≤90d 21 -47.1% -52.2% 33% 19% -30.3%
all 21 -47.1% -52.2% 33% 19% -30.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover72.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -52.2% 19% -30.3%
10% ← realistic here -56.8% 5% -37.0%
15% -60.9% 0% -43.1%
20% -64.8% 0% -48.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $465.80 · official $465.80 (match) · 85 history records