Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:18:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1e8b…9b72
crypto · 46 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$3 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses29 / 14
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)43 / 46
History coverage2d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day37.6
Drawdown86%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 3 History 43 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 38¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+162%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 48¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 25¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +118%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$4 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $6 −$1 -12%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 72% +$5
other 17% −$2
sports 10% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)+5.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 +16.9% +5.8% 67% 60% -7.2%
≤30d 43 +16.9% +5.8% 67% 60% -7.2%
≤90d 43 +16.9% +5.8% 67% 60% -7.2%
all 43 +16.9% +5.8% 67% 60% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +5.8% 60% -7.2%
10% ← realistic here -4.4% 53% -16.0%
15% -13.6% 42% -24.1%
20% -22.1% 30% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.55 · official $4.00 (match) · 103 history records