Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:22:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1ea1…6a01
other · 4 markets active 2h ago
7.5score
+$951 +249%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$951 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$61
Realized+$951
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses2 / 0
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions2
Markets (closed)2 / 4
Avg bet$96
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit25%
Chart Positions 2 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 41¢ 40¢ $37 $36 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) May 10 $301 +$937 +311%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? May 09 $18 +$15 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 79% +$937
other 21% +$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $25 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $25 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $13 1h
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) SELL Sean Strickland 60¢ $145 33d
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) SELL Sean Strickland 60¢ $300 33d
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) SELL Sean Strickland 60¢ $2 33d
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) SELL Sean Strickland 60¢ $2 33d
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) SELL Sean Strickland 60¢ $2 33d
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) SELL Sean Strickland 60¢ $2 33d
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) SELL Sean Strickland 60¢ $10 33d
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) SELL Sean Strickland 60¢ $2 33d
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) SELL Sean Strickland 60¢ $1 33d
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) BUY Sean Strickland 19¢ $301 33d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? BUY Yes 55¢ $18 59d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+167.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 2 +195.2% +167.1% 100% 100% +259.9%
all 2 +195.2% +167.1% 100% 100% +259.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +167.1% 100% +259.9%
10% +141.5% 100% +225.5%
15% +118.2% 100% +194.0%
20% +96.8% 100% +165.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $61.05 · official $61.05 (match) · 17 history records