Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T16:15:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.5
score
1E 0x1ea7…8e9a crypto 68 markets active 5d ago coverage 50d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$80 (+6%) realized +$80 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR57%break-even
Win rate60%41W / 27L
Drawdown74%max
Avg bet$21per market
Trades / day2.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$15
14 days−$7
30 days+$50
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$42
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -51.8% -56.3% 33% 33% -79.4%
≤30d 63 -6.6% -15.5% 62% 60% -5.3%
≤90d 68 -7.4% -16.2% 60% 57% -6.0%
all 68 -7.4% -16.2% 60% 57% -6.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.2% 57% -6.0%
10% -24.2% 40% -15.0%
15% -31.5% 31% -23.2%
20% -38.2% 19% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt +3% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -15% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$10 · ×0.76 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.15 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

50d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$80
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses41 / 27
Open positions0
Markets (closed)68 / 68
History coverage50d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown74%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 68 Trades
no open positions (17 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 22 $1 +$1 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 22 $2 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$2 -12%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +129%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$22 -42%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$12 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$4 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $25 −$25 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $25 −$25 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$6 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$13 +51%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$26 +98%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $97 +$13 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $51 +$27 +53%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $52 −$25 -48%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$18 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $51 +$22 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$10 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$12 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$13 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$5 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 10 $26 +$3 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $108 −$8 -7%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $25 +$9 +35%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $50 +$8 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $51 +$17 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $26 +$23 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$25 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$3 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $6 10d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 10d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 11d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 12d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 12d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $7 12d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 12d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 12d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 12d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 12d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $6 12d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 12d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $8 12d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 12d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $7 12d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 12d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 12d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 13d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $26 14d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $28 14d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 14d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $26 14d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 182 history records