Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:25:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1eaf…9bf0
sports · 108 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$72,406 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$71,346 · open +$633
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$233,239
Realized+$71,346
Unrealized+$633
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses43 / 36
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Est. fees paid−$3,842
Open positions50
Markets (closed)79 / 108
History coverage8d
Avg bet$5,700
Trades / day423.8
Drawdown42%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 50 History 79 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$64,962
7 days+$100,483
14 days+$71,346
30 days+$71,346
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 90¢ 89¢ $24,704 $24,673 −$30 (-0%)
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 85¢ 84¢ $24,543 $24,505 −$38 (-0%)
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 95¢ 95¢ $20,472 $20,350 −$122 (-1%)
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 87¢ 86¢ $18,303 $18,165 −$138 (-1%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 41¢ 80¢ $8,200 $15,900 +$7,700 (+94%)
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? No 87¢ 87¢ $13,721 $13,721 +$0 (+0%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 25¢ 19¢ $10,922 $8,262 −$2,660 (-24%)
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 93¢ 91¢ $8,351 $8,158 −$194 (-2%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? No 38¢ 38¢ $7,600 $7,700 +$100 (+1%)
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $6,830 $6,701 −$129 (-2%)
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 95¢ 95¢ $6,698 $6,647 −$50 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 45¢ 42¢ $6,750 $6,225 −$525 (-8%)
Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 81¢ 81¢ $5,670 $5,704 +$34 (+1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 82¢ $5,678 $5,644 −$34 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $5,298 $5,368 +$70 (+1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 42¢ 42¢ $5,338 $5,274 −$64 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? No 19¢ 20¢ $4,964 $5,094 +$131 (+3%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? No 72¢ 70¢ $4,279 $4,190 −$89 (-2%)
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 65¢ 62¢ $4,126 $3,968 −$159 (-4%)
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 73¢ 72¢ $3,650 $3,575 −$75 (-2%)
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 34¢ 34¢ $3,441 $3,526 +$85 (+2%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 47¢ 55¢ $2,814 $3,264 +$449 (+16%)
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 42¢ 20¢ $6,599 $3,127 −$3,472 (-53%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $2,940 $2,882 −$59 (-2%)
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 95¢ 96¢ $2,850 $2,875 +$25 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Birmingham: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Elvina Kalieva Jun 12 $236 −$236 -100%
Will Greece win on 2026-06-04? Jun 12 $230 −$230 -100%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06? Jun 12 $180 −$180 -100%
Will Romania win on 2026-06-06? Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Gabriela Knutson Jun 12 $1,933 −$1,933 -100%
Makarska: Robin Montgomery vs Lea Boskovic Jun 12 $2,243 −$2,243 -100%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? Jun 12 $908 −$908 -100%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? Jun 12 $590 −$590 -100%
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 12 $4,300 −$4,300 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $27,540 +$15,418 +56%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $50,197 +$13,802 +28%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $34,395 +$174 +0%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $378 +$506 +134%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $5,240 +$4,760 +91%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $207 +$108 +52%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $1,263 +$1,737 +138%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $7,193 +$3,521 +49%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $97 +$154 +158%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $20,116 +$33,502 +166%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $2,531 +$4,469 +177%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $334 +$262 +79%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 11 $43 −$43 -100%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 11 $129 +$98 +76%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $2,750 +$992 +36%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $3,310 +$1,350 +41%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 11 $1,320 −$1,320 -100%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs James McCabe Jun 11 $5,586 +$2,238 +40%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $12,800 −$12,800 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $2,953 −$2,950 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $18,140 +$4,343 +24%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 11 $1,030 −$1,015 -99%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 11 $325 −$322 -99%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $19,864 +$6,421 +32%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $356 +$227 +64%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $43 +$4 +10%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $372 −$367 -99%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $902 +$2,098 +233%
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 10 $1,500 −$1,500 -100%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 10 $141 +$96 +68%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamens Jun 10 $2,631 +$617 +24%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Jun 10 $6,148 +$3,852 +63%
Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Jun 10 $612 −$608 -99%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Andrej Martin Jun 10 $1,280 +$720 +56%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Michael Zheng Jun 10 $498 −$490 -98%
Will Iceland win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $9,521 +$479 +5%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $731 +$1,097 +150%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 09 $3,751 +$1,249 +33%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Polina Kudermetova Jun 09 $5,733 +$2,880 +50%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2,157 +$2,608 +121%
HSBC Championships: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 09 $4,256 −$1,756 -41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 50% +$61,648
sports 47% +$17,299
crypto 3% +$3,704
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $1 2m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $2 2m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $0 3m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $210 3m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $142 3m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $131 3m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $7 4m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 38¢ $1,900 4m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 38¢ $1,900 4m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 38¢ $1,900 4m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 38¢ $1,900 4m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $1 4m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $1 5m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $47 5m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $46 5m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $0 7m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $1 8m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $1 8m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $3 9m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $2 9m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $0 11m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $2 11m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $1 11m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $49 12m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $0 15m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $0 19m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $5 19m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $1 20m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $117 21m
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 87¢ $125 21m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)+7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 +29.0% +16.7% 59% 54% +16.4%
≤30d 79 +18.4% +7.2% 54% 51% +4.9%
≤90d 79 +18.4% +7.2% 54% 51% +4.9%
all 79 +18.4% +7.2% 54% 51% +4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover423.8 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +7.2% 51% +4.9%
10% -3.1% 48% -5.1%
15% ← realistic here -12.5% 41% -14.3%
20% -21.0% 33% -22.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $233,239.02 · official $233,209.73 (match) · 3500 history records