Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:50:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1eb0…c7e6
crypto · 125 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$65 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$66 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$243
Realized+$66
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses60 / 61
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions4
Markets (closed)121 / 125
History coverage127d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day4.2
Drawdown99%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 4 History 121 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days+$21
14 days+$21
30 days+$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $163 $162 −$1 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5 Under 63¢ 60¢ $38 $36 −$1 (-4%)
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $35 $36 +$1 (+4%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No 37¢ 40¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$4 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $102 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $120 +$31 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$34 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $66 +$10 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $93 +$19 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $76 +$19 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $64 −$21 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $36 +$7 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $71 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$8 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $63 +$8 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $35 +$9 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $53 +$23 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$34 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $46 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $43 +$6 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $47 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$4 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$8 +567%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$5 +400%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 64% +$25
crypto 34% +$22
other 2% +$18
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $46 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $51 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $12 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $8 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $13 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $14 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $51 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $51 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $10 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $0 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $15 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $9 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $22 14m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 -8.1% -16.9% 46% 32% -8.2%
≤30d 63 -8.1% -16.9% 46% 32% -8.2%
≤90d 63 -8.1% -16.9% 46% 32% -8.2%
all 121 -6.0% -15.0% 50% 36% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.0% 36% -8.1%
10% -23.1% 24% -16.9%
15% -30.6% 19% -25.0%
20% -37.4% 15% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $243.15 · official $243.15 (match) · 571 history records