Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:35:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1eb3…fef1
sports · 54 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$54 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$54 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized−$54
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses15 / 38
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)53 / 54
History coverage604d
Avg bet$317
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 1 History 53 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May? Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $0.40 in May? Jun 13 $33 $0 +0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me May 28 $10 $0 -0%
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 27 $20 $0 -0%
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 26 $10 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 22 $10 $0 -0%
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 21 $10 $0 -0%
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Croatia vs Jersey May 21 $14 +$2 +11%
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 19 $10 $0 -0%
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 12 $43 $0 -0%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers May 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 11 $45 $0 -0%
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? May 08 $50 $0 -0%
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? May 07 $45 $0 -0%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 06 $49 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 30 $47 $0 -0%
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? Apr 27 $49 $0 -0%
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair? Apr 21 $48 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 21 $45 $0 -0%
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 20 $48 $0 -0%
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? Apr 19 $50 $0 -0%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 18 $47 $0 -0%
Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Apr 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Magic Apr 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Hawks vs. Cavaliers Apr 09 $8 −$8 -100%
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Apr 09 $9 +$5 +62%
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings Apr 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07? Apr 08 $11 −$11 -100%
Blackhawks vs. Sharks Apr 08 $12 +$7 +59%
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets Apr 07 $4 −$4 -100%
Canadiens vs. Rangers Apr 06 $7 −$7 -100%
Flyers vs. Capitals Apr 06 $36 −$36 -100%
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch? Apr 02 $21 $0 +1%
Hawks vs. Celtics Mar 31 $26 +$13 +52%
Kings vs. Nets Mar 31 $23 +$23 +100%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22? Mar 27 $29 −$29 -100%
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26? Mar 27 $39 +$12 +30%
Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 136.5 Mar 22 $19 +$18 +92%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m Mar 22 $42 $0 +0%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on Mar 05 $4 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $160 in February? Mar 05 $80 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January? Feb 13 $80 $0 +0%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? Dec 29 $13,512 −$14 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 09 $10 $0 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Sep 19 $30 $0 -1%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Jul 22 $11 $0 -2%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 02 $24 $0 -0%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? Mar 03 $11 −$1 -5%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? Feb 20 $4 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? Jan 10 $269 −$2 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% −$13
politics 15% −$8
other 2% −$28
sports 1% −$4
economics 1% $0
culture 1% $0
world 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? BUY No 100¢ $21 1h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $10 15d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $10 15d
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $10 16d
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $6 16d
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $10 16d
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $10 18d
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $10 18d
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $10 19d
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $10 19d
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $10 21d
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 21d
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $10 22d
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $10 22d
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Croatia vs Jersey BUY Jersey 90¢ $7 24d
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Croatia vs Jersey BUY Jersey 90¢ $7 24d
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $10 24d
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $10 24d
Will XRP dip to $0.40 in May? BUY No 100¢ $33 25d
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $43 31d
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $43 32d
Pistons vs. Cavaliers BUY Pistons 41¢ $5 33d
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $45 33d
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $45 33d
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $50 36d
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $50 36d
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $45 36d
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $45 36d
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $49 37d
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $49 37d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-19.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 9 +1.2% -8.5% 33% 11% -8.4%
≤90d 39 -15.3% -23.4% 28% 18% -12.4%
all 53 -11.5% -19.9% 28% 13% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.9% 13% -9.8%
10% -27.6% 11% -18.4%
15% -34.6% 9% -26.3%
20% -41.0% 9% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.65 · official $20.65 (match) · 249 history records