Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:18:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1ec8…7ec6
crypto · 59 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$277 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$279 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized−$279
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses32 / 26
Open positions1
Markets (closed)58 / 59
History coverage4d
Avg bet$92
Trades / day17.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 58 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$203
7 days−$279
14 days−$279
30 days−$279
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 56¢ 60¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+8%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$9 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$12 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$28 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$38 +74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$38 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $134 +$96 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$12 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $52 +$41 +80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$15 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $15 +$11 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $16 +$13 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $15 +$10 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $823 +$531 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $437 −$328 -75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $134 −$130 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $52 −$50 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $16 −$15 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $15 +$12 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $52 +$9 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $15 +$11 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $15 +$12 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $52 +$38 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $16 +$14 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $134 +$105 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $51 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 10 $15 +$12 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 09 $52 +$41 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 09 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 09 $134 +$98 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 09 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 09 $15 −$15 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 09 $52 +$41 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 09 $52 +$39 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 09 $31 +$27 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 09 $310 −$300 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 09 $309 −$300 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 09 $729 +$650 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 09 $516 −$500 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 09 $207 −$200 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 09 $82 −$80 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 08 $51 +$36 +69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 08 $25 +$2 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$277
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $15 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $24 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $16 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $51 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $52 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $15 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $52 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $15 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $134 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $52 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $16 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $15 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $52 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $15 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $16 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $15 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $16 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $15 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $823 45h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 12¢ $67 45h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $62 45h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $41 45h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $56 45h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $319 45h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $134 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $52 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $16 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $15 47h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $60 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 -3.7% -12.8% 55% 53% -14.3%
≤30d 58 -3.7% -12.8% 55% 53% -14.3%
≤90d 58 -3.7% -12.8% 55% 53% -14.3%
all 58 -3.7% -12.8% 55% 53% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.8% 53% -14.3%
10% -21.2% 52% -22.5%
15% -28.8% 50% -30.0%
20% -35.8% 50% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.21 · official $14.87 · 103 history records