Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:21:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1ed4…6b2d
crypto · 373 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$23 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses208 / 165
Open positions0
Markets (closed)373 / 373
History coverage8d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day48.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 373 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$25
14 days−$23
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 291 -5.5% -14.5% 54% 54% -13.9%
≤30d 373 -4.2% -13.3% 56% 56% -11.9%
≤90d 373 -4.2% -13.3% 56% 56% -11.9%
all 373 -4.2% -13.3% 56% 56% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 56% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 54% -20.3%
15% -29.2% 48% -28.0%
20% -36.1% 36% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 581 history records