Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:50:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1ede…46e8
weather · 311 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$12,096 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$256,887 · open −$33,290
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$200,467
Realized+$256,887
Unrealized−$33,290
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses300 / 5
Whale WR (big bets)97%
Est. fees paid−$87
Open positions6
Markets (closed)305 / 311
History coverage18d
Avg bet$20,732
Trades / day164.7
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 6 History 305 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$250,666
7 days+$251,432
14 days+$255,537
30 days+$256,887
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 50¢ 83¢ $50,000 $83,350 +$33,350 (+67%)
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? No 100¢ 100¢ $74,925 $74,962 +$38 (+0%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? No 100¢ 100¢ $21,132 $21,153 +$21 (+0%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 50¢ 17¢ $50,000 $16,650 −$33,350 (-67%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1? No 100¢ 100¢ $3,180 $3,181 +$2 (+0%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1? No 100¢ 100¢ $1,070 $1,071 +$1 (+0%)
Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $16,411 +$16 +0%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $4,950 +$50 +1%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $4,854 +$146 +3%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $49,950 +$50 +0%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5,001 +$49 +1%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $99,900 +$100 +0%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $149,852 +$148 +0%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $99,902 +$98 +0%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $9,401 +$9 +0%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $3,609,106 +$250,000 +7%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $18,260 +$18 +0%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $1,994 +$6 +0%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $2,391 +$5 +0%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $83,806 +$84 +0%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $150 +$2 +1%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 09 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 9? Jun 09 $4 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 9? Jun 09 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on June 9? Jun 09 $10 $0 +0%
Spread: Hong Kong SAR (-1.5) Jun 09 $13 $0 +0%
Spread: Mozambique (-2.5) Jun 09 $14 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 9? Jun 09 $41 $0 +0%
Will Myanmar win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $105 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 9? Jun 09 $154 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 9? Jun 09 $250 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 9? Jun 09 $369 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 9? Jun 09 $423 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 9? Jun 09 $540 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 9? Jun 09 $623 +$1 +0%
Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $993 +$2 +0%
Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw? Jun 09 $1,171 +$3 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 9? Jun 09 $1,335 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 9? Jun 09 $2,046 +$2 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9? Jun 09 $2,984 +$31 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C or higher on June 9 Jun 09 $16 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 9? Jun 09 $645 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on June 9? Jun 09 $881 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 9? Jun 09 $999 +$1 +0%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $5,559 +$172 +3%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 09 $50,458 +$55 +0%
Peru leading at halftime? Jun 09 $9 $0 +0%
Spain leading at halftime? Jun 09 $1,146 +$1 +0%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $2,811 +$28 +1%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $29,699 +$301 +1%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $6,707 +$16 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C or below on June 8? Jun 09 $31 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on June 8? Jun 09 $41 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 8? Jun 09 $48 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 8? Jun 09 $79 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 8? Jun 09 $88 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 77% +$217,805
sports 17% +$2,829
crypto 3% +$2,728
weather 3% +$235
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 BUY No 100¢ $10 3m
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 BUY No 100¢ $999 54m
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 BUY No 100¢ $105 59m
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 BUY No 100¢ $48 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 100¢ $11 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 100¢ $52 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 100¢ $16 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 100¢ $6 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 100¢ $206 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 100¢ $26 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 100¢ $210 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 100¢ $28 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 100¢ $9 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,295 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 100¢ $10 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 100¢ $15 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 100¢ $819 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 100¢ $95 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 100¢ $11 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 100¢ $3 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 100¢ $113 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 100¢ $555 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 100¢ $22 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 100¢ $8 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 100¢ $55 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 100¢ $43 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 100¢ $55 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 100¢ $4,995 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 81 +0.3% -9.2% 100% 0% -4.2%
≤30d 305 +0.2% -9.3% 98% 0% -5.6%
≤90d 305 +0.2% -9.3% 98% 0% -5.6%
all 305 +0.2% -9.3% 98% 0% -5.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover164.7 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 0% -5.6%
10% -18.0% 0% -14.6%
15% ← realistic here -25.9% 0% -22.9%
20% -33.2% 0% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $200,467.35 · official $200,467.35 (match) · 3500 history records