Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:49:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1ee3…3d7e
crypto · 25 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$17 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized−$25
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses11 / 13
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)24 / 25
History coverage7d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day4.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 24 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$32
7 days−$39
14 days−$25
30 days−$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 60¢ 100¢ $12 $20 +$8 (+67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 7? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BetBoom Team 67¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +44%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $20 −$14 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - European Pro League Seri Jun 07 $10 +$12 +121%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026? Jun 07 $23 +$1 +3%
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) Jun 06 $5 +$6 +117%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $5 $0 -4%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 06 $10 +$5 +52%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Jun 06 $5 +$4 +73%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 7? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 44% +$1
crypto 43% −$18
politics 12% +$1
weather 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $6 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $6 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $12 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 55m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Eintracht Spandau 23¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 16¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 60¢ $12 2h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 73¢ $20 2h
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $20 6d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - European Pro League Seri BUY KOLESIE 44¢ $10 6d
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) SELL LGD Gaming 100¢ $11 7d
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs SELL Aurora 41¢ $5 7d
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY Aurora 41¢ $5 7d
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) BUY LGD Gaming 45¢ $5 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-19.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -20.7% -28.2% 42% 37% -31.7%
≤30d 24 -10.6% -19.1% 46% 42% -21.8%
≤90d 24 -10.6% -19.1% 46% 42% -21.8%
all 24 -10.6% -19.1% 46% 42% -21.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.1% 42% -21.8%
10% -26.9% 33% -29.3%
15% -33.9% 29% -36.1%
20% -40.4% 25% -42.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.99 · official $19.99 (match) · 44 history records