Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:55:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1eeb…c8c1
crypto · 504 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$314 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$481 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$481
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses177 / 346
Open positions1
Markets (closed)523 / 504
History coverage6d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day110.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 523 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$173
7 days−$481
14 days−$481
30 days−$481
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 56¢ 44¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-21%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 6? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on May 3? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 2? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 4? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 4? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May Jun 14 $2 −$4 -200%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on May Jun 14 $3 −$6 -200%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on Ma Jun 14 $2 −$4 -200%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on Ma Jun 14 $2 −$4 -200%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May Jun 14 $2 −$4 -200%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on Ap Jun 14 $6 −$12 -200%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May Jun 14 $2 −$4 -200%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on Ma Jun 14 $2 −$4 -200%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on Ma Jun 14 $0 −$1 -200%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on Ap Jun 14 $10 −$20 -201%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on Ma Jun 14 $1 −$2 -200%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on Apr Jun 14 $0 −$1 -200%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on Ma Jun 14 $8 −$15 -200%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on Ap Jun 14 $4 −$8 -200%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May Jun 14 $0 −$1 -200%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on Ma Jun 14 $1 −$2 -200%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on Ma Jun 14 $7 −$15 -200%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on Ap Jun 14 $10 −$20 -200%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May Jun 14 $5 −$11 -200%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on Apr Jun 14 $2 −$5 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$5 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$4 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$4 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$341
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-24.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 523 -16.5% -24.4% 34% 32% -21.5%
≤30d 523 -16.5% -24.4% 34% 32% -21.5%
≤90d 523 -16.5% -24.4% 34% 32% -21.5%
all 523 -16.5% -24.4% 34% 32% -21.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover110.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.4% 32% -21.5%
10% ← realistic here -31.6% 32% -29.0%
15% -38.3% 31% -35.9%
20% -44.3% 31% -42.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.57 · official $1.92 (match) · 3500 history records