trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.7% | -10.2% | 0% | 0% | -10.2% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +105.7% | +86.1% | 50% | 50% | +41.6% |
| ≤90d | 2 | +105.7% | +86.1% | 50% | 50% | +41.6% |
| all | 26 | +6.2% | -3.9% | 46% | 31% | +11.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.9% | 31% | +11.2% |
| 10% | -13.1% | 23% | +0.6% |
| 15% | -21.5% | 23% | -9.1% |
| 20% | -29.2% | 19% | -18.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $4 | $2 | −$1 (-38%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026? | Jun 20 | $281 | −$2 | -1% |
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | Jun 14 | $103 | +$219 | +212% |
| Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition? | Nov 07 | $510 | −$48 | -10% |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025? | Nov 07 | $307 | +$13 | +4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November? | Nov 07 | $517 | +$21 | +4% |
| Will Trump say "Happy Halloween" this week? (October 27 - November 2) | Oct 31 | $743 | +$543 | +73% |
| Will Zcash flip Monero by December 31? | Oct 30 | $1,458 | +$317 | +22% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Oct 30 | $44 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Anyone’s Legend win LoL Worlds 2025? | Oct 27 | $30 | +$1 | +4% |
| Cardano ETF in 2025? | Oct 27 | $7 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Hanwha Life Esports win LoL Worlds 2025? | Oct 27 | $81 | −$24 | -30% |
| Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025? | Oct 27 | $102 | −$9 | -8% |
| NFL Sunday Week 8: Will an underdog win? | Oct 27 | $151 | +$61 | +40% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025? | Oct 26 | $17 | −$2 | -10% |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Malaysia events on October | Oct 26 | $3 | −$2 | -84% |
| dogwifhat on the sphere in 2025? | Oct 26 | $5 | −$1 | -20% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11PM ET | Oct 26 | $30 | +$65 | +214% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10PM ET | Oct 26 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will FlyQuest win LoL Worlds 2025? | Oct 25 | $67 | −$67 | -100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | Oct 25 | $21 | −$18 | -88% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | Oct 25 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| Will Movistar KOI win LoL Worlds 2025? | Oct 25 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi | Nov 06 | $27 | +$54 | +202% |
| Will Dallas Mavericks be 2023-24 NBA Champions? | May 26 | $1 | +$2 | +131% |
| Vancouver Canucks win the 2024 Stanley Cup? | May 22 | $28 | −$28 | -100% |
| Will ETH hit $4k by Friday? | May 22 | $114 | +$13 | +11% |