Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:59:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1F
0x1f05…4b7c
crypto · 1291 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$477 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$481 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$481
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses604 / 499
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1103 / 1291
History coverage130d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day11.9
Drawdown9%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 1103 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$99
7 days+$231
14 days+$438
30 days+$482
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 50¢ 52¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +124%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +173%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +82%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +79%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +129%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +92%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +110%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +124%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$471
other 2% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $0 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $0 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+3.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 529 +12.5% +1.8% 58% 58% +3.3%
≤30d 1101 +14.7% +3.8% 55% 55% +4.4%
≤90d 1101 +14.7% +3.8% 55% 55% +4.4%
all 1103 +14.7% +3.8% 55% 55% +4.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +3.8% 55% +4.3%
10% -6.1% 54% -5.7%
15% -15.2% 54% -14.8%
20% -23.5% 54% -23.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.12 · official $3.12 (match) · 2165 history records