Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:54:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1F
0x1f08…c6f5
crypto · 302 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$5,244 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,587 · open −$412
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$130
Realized+$5,587
Unrealized−$412
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses153 / 148
Whale WR (big bets)61%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)301 / 302
History coverage88d
Avg bet$368
Trades / day37.8
Drawdown96%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 301 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$756
7 days+$2,343
14 days+$4,156
30 days+$5,345
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Down 44¢ 10¢ $542 $130 −$412 (-76%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $679 $0 −$679 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1,733 $0 −$1,733 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $279 $0 −$279 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $448 $0 −$448 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $221 $0 −$221 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1,320 $0 −$1,320 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $243 $0 −$243 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $706 $0 −$706 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $713 +$487 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $291 −$241 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET Jun 13 $193 −$96 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $727 +$491 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Jun 13 $292 −$251 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET Jun 13 $733 +$502 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $304 −$297 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $310 +$204 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $106 −$106 -100%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $1,076 +$262 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Jun 11 $197 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Jun 11 $693 +$545 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Jun 11 $1,734 −$3 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET Jun 11 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET Jun 11 $100 +$100 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Jun 11 $71 +$132 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9PM ET Jun 11 $132 −$128 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET Jun 10 $136 +$104 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $245 +$75 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Jun 10 $130 +$100 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4AM ET Jun 10 $1,759 +$1,225 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET Jun 10 $727 −$706 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4PM ET Jun 09 $296 −$293 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3PM ET Jun 09 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12PM ET Jun 09 $734 +$501 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11AM ET Jun 09 $278 −$273 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10AM ET Jun 09 $113 −$110 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2AM ET Jun 09 $741 +$495 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1AM ET Jun 09 $286 −$280 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12AM ET Jun 09 $88 −$88 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9PM ET Jun 09 $135 +$104 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1AM ET Jun 08 $249 +$255 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET Jun 08 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2PM ET Jun 07 $289 +$228 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1PM ET Jun 07 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1AM ET Jun 07 $250 +$250 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12AM ET Jun 07 $100 −$99 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2PM ET Jun 06 $1,679 +$1,101 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1PM ET Jun 06 $649 −$634 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12PM ET Jun 06 $283 −$274 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11AM ET Jun 06 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2AM ET Jun 06 $100 +$50 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1AM ET Jun 06 $296 +$209 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12AM ET Jun 06 $115 −$112 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8PM ET Jun 06 $287 +$229 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7PM ET Jun 05 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ET Jun 05 $100 +$100 +100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$4,912
finance 1% +$262
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $11 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $13 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $7 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $13 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $13 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $11 27m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -13.2% -21.5% 48% 45% +6.0%
≤30d 118 -9.0% -17.7% 52% 49% +0.9%
≤90d 301 -1.4% -10.8% 51% 47% -4.7%
all 301 -1.4% -10.8% 51% 47% -4.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 47% -4.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 45% -13.9%
15% -27.1% 42% -22.2%
20% -34.3% 41% -29.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $129.82 · official $129.82 (match) · 3500 history records