Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:09:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1F
0x1f19…f57a
crypto · 128 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$288 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$339 · open −$51
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$42
Realized+$339
Unrealized−$51
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses71 / 56
Open positions1
Markets (closed)127 / 128
History coverage1d
Avg bet$116
Trades / day3373.0
Drawdown32%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 127 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$339
7 days+$339
14 days+$339
30 days+$339
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 76¢ 98¢ $30 $39 +$9 (+28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 39¢ 2¢ $54 $4 −$51 (-94%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $106 −$6 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $247 +$73 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $213 +$87 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $478 −$78 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $149 −$29 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $263 +$57 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $134 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $510 +$50 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $78 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $610 −$50 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $460 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $300 −$40 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $490 +$30 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $392 +$88 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $379 +$61 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $184 +$26 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $284 −$4 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $54 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $118 +$12 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $111 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $223 +$27 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $112 −$12 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $204 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $256 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $86 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $153 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $188 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $54 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $132 +$8 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$5 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $83 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $69 +$11 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $216 −$46 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $97 −$7 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $290 +$20 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $149 +$21 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $118 −$18 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $117 −$7 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$7 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$15 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $89 +$16 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $149 −$14 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $75 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $135 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $83 +$2 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$288
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $16 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $15 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $13 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $12 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $18 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $18 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $18 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $14 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $14 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $7 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $19 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $18 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $16 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $7 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $14 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $12 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $8 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $12 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $11 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 11m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)+0.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 127 +10.7% +0.2% 56% 26% -7.4%
≤30d 127 +10.7% +0.2% 56% 26% -7.4%
≤90d 127 +10.7% +0.2% 56% 26% -7.4%
all 127 +10.7% +0.2% 56% 26% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3373.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.2% 26% -7.4%
10% ← realistic here -9.4% 6% -16.3%
15% -18.2% 3% -24.4%
20% -26.2% 1% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $42.50 · official $44.50 · 3500 history records