trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -2.4% | -11.7% | 29% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -2.1% | -11.5% | 25% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -2.1% | -11.5% | 25% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 27 | -3.9% | -13.1% | 48% | 4% | -8.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.1% | 4% | -8.1% |
| 10% | -21.4% | 4% | -16.9% |
| 15% | -29.0% | 4% | -24.9% |
| 20% | -36.0% | 4% | -32.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | No | 81¢ | 80¢ | $42 | $42 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 19¢ | 4¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-77%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 18 | $7 | −$1 | -19% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 15 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 15 | $111 | −$1 | -1% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 14 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $89 | +$3 | +3% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | Jun 10 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before July? | Dec 11 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 24 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 16 | $20 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 27 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon tweet 650-674 times March 14-21? | Mar 22 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21? | Mar 21 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Lyon win the UEFA Europa League? | Mar 18 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 17 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 43-44°F on March 15? | Mar 16 | $34 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting? | Mar 14 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on March 12? | Mar 14 | $36 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics? | Mar 14 | $1 | −$1 | -57% |
| Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 7-14? | Mar 13 | $36 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 12 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Mary Kate Cornett dropped by sorority by Friday? | Mar 11 | $36 | $0 | +1% |
| West Virginia vs. Utah | Mar 06 | $14 | +$22 | +163% |
| UL Monroe vs. Louisiana | Mar 04 | $14 | $0 | -3% |