trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -8.6% | -17.3% | 80% | 0% | -18.5% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +5.6% | -4.5% | 89% | 44% | -5.8% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 86% | 55% | -3.0% |
| all | 27 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 78% | 52% | -6.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.4% | 52% | -6.2% |
| 10% | -19.0% | 19% | -15.2% |
| 15% | -26.8% | 4% | -23.4% |
| 20% | -34.0% | 0% | -30.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 22 | $834 | +$23 | +3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 22 | $2,167 | +$48 | +2% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | Jun 22 | $2,173 | +$138 | +6% |
| Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? | Jun 22 | $2,259 | +$169 | +8% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 18 | $2,167 | −$1,333 | -62% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Jun 02 | $1,905 | +$363 | +19% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | May 29 | $1,740 | +$289 | +17% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | May 29 | $1,724 | +$388 | +22% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | May 29 | $1,748 | +$608 | +35% |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? | May 15 | $1,707 | +$19 | +1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? | May 05 | $1,721 | +$184 | +11% |
| Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026? | May 02 | $1,448 | +$153 | +11% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? | May 01 | $1,576 | +$159 | +10% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | May 01 | $1,522 | +$255 | +17% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | May 01 | $1,433 | +$371 | +26% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | Apr 25 | $1,437 | +$139 | +10% |
| Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times | Apr 03 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | Apr 03 | $297 | −$297 | -100% |
| US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31? | Apr 02 | $1,285 | +$163 | +13% |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? | Apr 01 | $1,285 | +$152 | +12% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31? | Apr 01 | $1,285 | +$237 | +18% |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | Mar 27 | $1,285 | +$148 | +12% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Mar 11 | $805 | −$402 | -50% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Mar 11 | $2,913 | −$993 | -34% |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | Feb 28 | $565 | +$254 | +45% |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | Feb 20 | $707 | +$169 | +24% |
| Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | Jan 29 | $300 | −$3 | -1% |