Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:00:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1F
0x1f48…a145
sports · 143 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$702 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$867 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,571
Realized−$867
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses76 / 63
Whale WR (big bets)58%
Est. fees paid−$587
Open positions4
Markets (closed)139 / 143
History coverage51d
Avg bet$362
Trades / day21.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 4 History 139 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$382
7 days−$1,244
14 days−$1,590
30 days−$926
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No 49¢ 49¢ $1,407 $1,398 −$9 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $173 $171 −$2 (-1%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Yes 69¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$1 (+45%)
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? Yes 51¢ 51¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Over 39¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+156%)
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 6¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-80%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $198 +$110 +56%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $300 −$228 -76%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $204 +$77 +38%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $406 −$400 -99%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $198 +$67 +34%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 11 $199 +$101 +51%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $151 +$35 +23%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $800 +$35 +4%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $396 −$396 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $203 +$45 +22%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $909 +$250 +28%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Jun 11 $187 −$79 -42%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $83 −$81 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $400 +$170 +42%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 11 $800 −$35 -4%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $192 −$192 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $800 +$66 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $197 +$27 +14%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $329 +$169 +51%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $378 +$16 +4%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $771 +$34 +4%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $907 −$907 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $600 +$293 +49%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $152 +$33 +21%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $306 +$54 +18%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 08 $198 +$36 +18%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $110 −$110 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $500 +$245 +49%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $25 +$17 +68%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 Jun 07 $500 −$500 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 07 $444 −$444 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Jun 07 $700 +$222 +32%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $450 +$27 +6%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $143 −$143 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $301 −$161 -53%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 05 $345 +$101 +29%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $231 +$7 +3%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $286 +$51 +18%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $639 −$104 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3? Jun 03 $203 +$30 +15%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 03 $304 −$10 -3%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $253 +$28 +11%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $129 −$129 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 Jun 02 $90 +$44 +49%
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) Jun 01 $69 −$29 -42%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 01 $1,159 −$1 -0%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 01 $113 −$45 -40%
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May? Jun 01 $48 $0 +1%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 43% −$1,727
culture 16% $0
other 16% −$240
world 13% +$735
crypto 8% +$107
politics 3% +$50
finance 1% +$205
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 77¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 92¢ $4 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 52¢ $648 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 72¢ $304 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $176 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 39¢ $507 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $198 10h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) SELL Team Falcons 44¢ $2 11h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) SELL Team Falcons 57¢ $279 11h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 6¢ $72 12h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 24¢ $300 12h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 40¢ $204 13h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $406 15h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) SELL Mexico 88¢ $4 30h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) SELL Mexico 54¢ $260 31h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 85¢ $182 31h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) SELL G2 99¢ $297 34h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) BUY G2 65¢ $199 41h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S SELL TheMongolz 75¢ $3 41h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S SELL TheMongolz 65¢ $245 41h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 56¢ $396 43h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 52¢ $203 47h
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 SELL Under 28¢ $105 47h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? SELL No 46¢ $835 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? BUY No 42¢ $799 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? BUY No 42¢ $0 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? BUY No 42¢ $0 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? BUY No 42¢ $0 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? BUY No 42¢ $0 2d
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $83 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)+21.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 +111.3% +91.2% 67% 52% -18.4%
≤30d 107 +44.9% +31.1% 51% 34% -12.4%
≤90d 139 +34.8% +21.9% 55% 31% -11.9%
all 139 +34.8% +21.9% 55% 31% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +21.9% 31% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here +10.3% 19% -20.3%
15% -0.4% 14% -28.0%
20% -10.2% 7% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,571.18 · official $1,570.78 (match) · 3500 history records