Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T18:34:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
1F 0x1f54…edd3 crypto 1565 markets active 23h ago coverage 42d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 41d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (50 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$4,902 (-75%) realized −$4,902 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR63%break-even
Win rate64%1008W / 557L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day50.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$485
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (50 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 662 -4.8% -13.9% 72% 70% -13.1%
≤30d 1131 -8.2% -17.0% 68% 67% -16.6%
≤90d 1565 -6.3% -15.2% 64% 63% -16.2%
all 1565 -6.3% -15.2% 64% 63% -16.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover50.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.2% 63% -16.2%
10% ← realistic here -23.3% 50% -24.2%
15% -30.7% 34% -31.6%
20% -37.5% 14% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -14% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$4 · ×0.44 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

42d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,902
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses1008 / 557
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1565 / 1565
History coverage42d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day50.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1565 Trades
no open positions (20 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $4 +$2 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $4 +$2 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $0 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $0 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records