Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:24:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1F
0x1f7c…de22
sports · 1126 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$109 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$111 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$116
Realized−$111
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses472 / 554
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions100
Markets (closed)1026 / 1126
History coverage22d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day109.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 100 History 1026 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$15
14 days−$61
30 days−$111
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? Yes 16¢ 97¢ $1 $7 +$6 (+508%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 12? Yes 19¢ 100¢ $1 $6 +$5 (+426%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Dane Sweeny 30¢ 100¢ $1 $4 +$3 (+233%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 12? Yes 38¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+163%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12? No 42¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+138%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? Yes 43¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$1 (+131%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 12? No 47¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+113%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 12? No 49¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+104%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 12? Yes 54¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+85%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 12? Yes 54¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+85%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 12? No 55¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+82%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 12? Yes 18¢ 32¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+75%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 13? Yes 23¢ 34¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+46%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on June 12? No 69¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+45%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 12? No 71¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+40%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Under 50¢ 68¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+36%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 12? Yes 74¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+35%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jiri Lehecka 53¢ 72¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+35%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 13? Yes 14¢ 18¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+32%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 12? No 80¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+25%)
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Atlanta Braves 42¢ 52¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+24%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 12? Yes 54¢ 66¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+21%)
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 12? No 63¢ 76¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+21%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 13? Yes 17¢ 20¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+21%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 12? No 83¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+20%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 12 $1 +$1 +78%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $1 +$1 +112%
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 12 $1 +$1 +58%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $1 +$3 +234%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $1 +$1 +91%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $1 +$1 +58%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $1 +$1 +112%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $1 +$1 +53%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $1 +$1 +53%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $1 +$1 +107%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $1 +$1 +95%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $1 +$1 +103%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $1 +$1 +132%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $1 +$1 +126%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $1 +$1 +72%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 50% +$71
weather 35% −$145
other 7% −$19
crypto 4% +$4
politics 2% −$9
culture 1% −$6
world 1% −$3
finance 0% $0
tech 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Nuria Brancaccio 45¢ $1 49m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 53¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Tristan Schoolkate 54¢ $1 2h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 29¢ $1 2h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 58¢ $1 3h
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 62¢ $1 3h
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 55¢ $1 3h
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Harmony Tan 46¢ $1 4h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 51¢ $1 4h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 47¢ $1 4h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 79¢ $1 5h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 75¢ $1 5h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 64¢ $1 5h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Tristan Boyer 48¢ $1 6h
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY No 87¢ $1 7h
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 7h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 44¢ $1 7h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on June 12? BUY No 69¢ $1 7h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 13? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 7h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 7h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 12? BUY Yes 60¢ $1 7h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 7h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 12? BUY Yes 43¢ $1 7h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 12? BUY Yes 38¢ $1 7h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 13? BUY No 93¢ $1 7h
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican pri BUY No 44¢ $1 7h
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $1 7h
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31? BUY Yes 50¢ $1 7h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June BUY Yes 54¢ $1 7h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 12? BUY No 61¢ $1 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 331 +1.8% -7.9% 52% 49% -12.5%
≤30d 1026 -5.9% -14.9% 46% 41% -15.2%
≤90d 1026 -5.9% -14.9% 46% 41% -15.2%
all 1026 -5.9% -14.9% 46% 41% -15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover109.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 41% -15.2%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 37% -23.3%
15% -30.5% 31% -30.7%
20% -37.3% 27% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $116.17 · official $116.17 (match) · 3500 history records