Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:30:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1F
0x1f84…98f1
sports · 151 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$420 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$491 · open +$71
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$264
Realized−$491
Unrealized+$71
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses64 / 85
Est. fees paid−$157
Open positions2
Markets (closed)149 / 151
History coverage37d
Avg bet$73
Trades / day6.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 2 History 149 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$71
7 days−$115
14 days−$1,084
30 days−$819
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) Anubis Gaming 58¢ 99¢ $100 $171 +$71 (+71%)
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5) Vivo Keyd Stars 63¢ 62¢ $93 $93 −$1 (-1%)
Roland Garros ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungelliti Kyrian Jacquet 55¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 39¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
ITF Troisdorf: Nino Ehrenschneider vs Nikolai Barsukov Nikolai Barsukov 60¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Valorant: Division One vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 2 Winner Division One 36¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs Eintracht Spandau 44¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs REKONIX 57¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffs TLN Pirates 45¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas 51¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Cloud9 56¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: CCG Esports vs Conviction (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs CCG Esports 29¢ 0¢ $113 $0 −$113 (-100%)
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Alycia Parks vs Moyuka Uchijima Moyuka Uchijima 63¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - LFL Playoffs Karmine Corp Blue 20¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs GIANTX 18¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Will Leo Pereira be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list? No 36¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 1 GIANTX 58¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season Disguised 57¢ 0¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5) Natus Vincere 57¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Minor Playoffs Cloud9 New York 20¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Centurion 2: Luca Castelnuovo vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Luca Castelnuovo 62¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BNK FEARX 9¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs BOMBA Team (+1.5) Frites Esports Club 27¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 DN SOOPers 12¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs FURIA Esports 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $22 +$13 +60%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $101 +$60 +60%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $102 −$100 -98%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5) Jun 11 $102 +$98 +97%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 10 $76 −$75 -98%
Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs BOMBA Team (+1.5) Jun 09 $51 −$50 -98%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $102 −$100 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Jun 09 $102 +$61 +60%
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) Jun 08 $62 +$40 +65%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 06 $61 −$60 -99%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 06 $101 −$100 -99%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 06 $101 +$84 +82%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Jodie Burrage vs Anna Blinkova Jun 06 $31 −$30 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $102 −$100 -98%
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs Vancouver Surge (BO5) - Call of Duty L Jun 06 $27 +$77 +291%
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Jun 05 $102 +$67 +65%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challen Jun 04 $88 −$87 -99%
Makarska: Akasha Urhobo vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 04 $62 −$61 -99%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty Leag Jun 04 $53 −$52 -98%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $101 −$25 -25%
Birmingham: Tatjana Maria vs Rebeka Masarova Jun 04 $62 −$61 -99%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 04 $27 −$26 -98%
Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (+1.5) Jun 04 $103 −$102 -99%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 03 $102 +$81 +79%
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Clos Jun 03 $101 −$100 -99%
Birmingham: Mackenzie McDonald vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Jun 02 $62 +$65 +105%
Birmingham: Coleman Wong vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 02 $63 +$44 +70%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 02 $102 −$9 -9%
Makarska: Tamara Zidansek vs Polona Hercog Jun 02 $123 −$17 -14%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 02 $101 −$10 -10%
Birmingham: Kayla Day vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 02 $61 −$60 -99%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $102 −$100 -98%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuit Jun 01 $63 −$62 -99%
Birmingham: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Linda Klimovicova Jun 01 $62 +$38 +62%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 01 $61 −$60 -98%
Centurion 2: Luca Castelnuovo vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandez May 31 $63 −$62 -99%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 31 $61 +$115 +188%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 31 $62 −$61 -99%
ITF Wichita: Dana Guzman vs Lea Ma May 30 $20 +$31 +154%
Chisinau: Cezar Cretu vs Stefanos Sakellaridis May 30 $63 −$62 -98%
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualif May 30 $53 +$100 +188%
Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad May 30 $15 −$9 -58%
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? May 30 $119 −$100 -84%
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs T1 - Map 2 Winner May 30 $534 +$77 +14%
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026? May 30 $62 −$58 -93%
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BC Game Masters Eu May 30 $103 −$102 -99%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Pl May 30 $62 −$61 -98%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs May 30 $62 −$61 -98%
LoL: CCG Esports vs Conviction (BO5) - North American Challengers Leag May 29 $115 −$113 -98%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs May 29 $63 −$62 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% −$187
other 3% −$233
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5) BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 63¢ $94 1h
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) BUY Anubis Gaming 58¢ $101 5h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY LOS 62¢ $22 21h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 62¢ $101 24h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $102 27h
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5) SELL LOS 100¢ $200 42h
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5) BUY LOS 50¢ $102 2d
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM BUY Fluxo W7M 47¢ $76 2d
Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs BOMBA Team (+1.5) BUY Frites Esports Club 27¢ $51 3d
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In BUY Frites Esports Club 50¢ $102 3d
Stuttgart Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Aleksandar Kovacevic BUY Yannick Hanfmann 62¢ $102 4d
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) BUY GenOne 60¢ $62 5d
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Gauthier Onclin BUY Marc-Andrea Huesler 58¢ $61 5d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 56¢ $101 5d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Astralis 100¢ $185 6d
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Jodie Burrage vs Anna Blinkova BUY Jodie Burrage 38¢ $31 6d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 39¢ $102 6d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Astralis 54¢ $101 6d
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challen BUY Winthrop University 56¢ $88 7d
Makarska: Akasha Urhobo vs Darja Semenistaja BUY Akasha Urhobo 52¢ $62 7d
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs Vancouver Surge (BO5) - Call of Duty L BUY Vancouver Surge 25¢ $27 7d
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty Leag BUY Cloud9 New York 20¢ $53 7d
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of BUY Riyadh Falcons 60¢ $102 7d
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 45¢ $25 8d
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs SELL Team Yandex 54¢ $61 8d
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY Team Yandex 66¢ $76 8d
Birmingham: Tatjana Maria vs Rebeka Masarova BUY Tatjana Maria 51¢ $62 8d
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY THUNDER dOWNUNDER 26¢ $27 8d
Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (+1.5) BUY THUNDER dOWNUNDER 53¢ $103 8d
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 55¢ $102 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -1.3% -10.7% 50% 50% -18.0%
≤30d 116 -17.2% -25.1% 38% 38% -17.8%
≤90d 149 -10.0% -18.6% 43% 43% -13.5%
all 149 -10.0% -18.6% 43% 43% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.6% 43% -13.5%
10% -26.4% 42% -21.8%
15% -33.5% 42% -29.4%
20% -40.0% 39% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $264.16 · official $264.16 (match) · 282 history records