trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 3 | -44.2% | -49.5% | 33% | 33% | -28.2% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -12.8% | -21.1% | 80% | 10% | -25.5% |
| all | 14 | -16.3% | -24.2% | 79% | 7% | -25.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.2% | 7% | -25.7% |
| 10% | -31.5% | 7% | -32.8% |
| 15% | -38.1% | 7% | -39.3% |
| 20% | -44.2% | 7% | -45.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 57¢ | 56¢ | $191 | $189 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 08 | $179 | −$177 | -99% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 19 | $76 | −$75 | -98% |
| Senators vs. Hurricanes | May 19 | $226 | +$153 | +67% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o | Apr 18 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026? | Apr 18 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will January 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? | Apr 18 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February? | Apr 18 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Apr 18 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7? | Apr 18 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | Apr 18 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Apple reach $360 in January? | Feb 03 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close at <$250 on the final day of trading of the we | Jan 23 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on | Jan 23 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition | Jan 07 | $14 | $0 | +0% |