Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:44:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1F
0x1fa8…0b19
sports · 975 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$687 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$499 · open +$188
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,071
Realized+$499
Unrealized+$188
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses520 / 419
Est. fees paid−$273
Open positions44
Markets (closed)939 / 975
History coverage18d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day128.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 44 History 939 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$189
7 days+$354
14 days+$400
30 days+$499
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 21¢ 81¢ $83 $319 +$237 (+287%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $200 $198 −$2 (-1%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 28¢ 23¢ $200 $166 −$34 (-17%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $59 $56 −$2 (-4%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 53¢ 55¢ $27 $28 +$1 (+3%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Iva Jovic 60¢ 74¢ $22 $28 +$5 (+24%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $25 $25 +$1 (+3%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 42¢ 44¢ $24 $25 +$1 (+5%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 55¢ $21 $21 +$1 (+3%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 68¢ 44¢ $31 $20 −$11 (-35%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ 58¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 42¢ 44¢ $13 $14 +$0 (+3%)
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Johan Alexander Rodriguez 60¢ 62¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+3%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Over 48¢ 48¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 47¢ 48¢ $9 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Japan 75¢ 74¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 76¢ 76¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Switzerland 32¢ 32¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 80¢ 80¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 23¢ 24¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+2%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Under 79¢ 81¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+3%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $6 $7 +$0 (+0%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 37¢ 80¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+116%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Boston Red Sox 50¢ 46¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-8%)
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? No 89¢ 90¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $11 +$18 +165%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $34 −$22 -66%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $20 +$11 +56%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $11 +$15 +143%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $22 −$16 -73%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $26 +$10 +38%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $9 +$4 +43%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $17 −$1 -7%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $16 +$11 +72%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $10 +$2 +25%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $50 +$16 +31%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $171 −$137 -80%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $20 +$8 +41%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $9 +$4 +44%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5) Jun 12 $27 +$5 +18%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5) Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $118 +$13 +11%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $2 +$1 +67%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5) Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 164.5 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $204 −$204 -100%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $8 +$2 +20%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $32 +$4 +13%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $3 +$2 +70%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 Jun 11 $13 +$4 +29%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $2 +$1 +46%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $3 $0 -15%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $43 +$28 +65%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $17 −$17 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $202 +$142 +70%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3 +$2 +57%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $3 +$4 +129%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $7 +$6 +83%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $9 +$4 +50%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $6 +$2 +30%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $2 +$1 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% +$912
other 8% −$230
crypto 0% +$4
world 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 59¢ $1 13m
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 60¢ $10 19m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 75¢ $1 23m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $27 26m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 56¢ $4 33m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 68¢ $2 54m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 68¢ $28 54m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 71¢ $1 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Switzerland 31¢ $1 1h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 47¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 60¢ $7 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 59¢ $14 1h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 36¢ $2 1h
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 37¢ $11 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 41¢ $2 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 54¢ $7 2h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 67¢ $1 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 79¢ $1 2h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 56¢ $1 3h
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Alicia Dudeney 12¢ $2 3h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 79¢ $2 3h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 44¢ $2 3h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Leyre Romero Gormaz 22¢ $5 3h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Leyre Romero Gormaz 22¢ $2 3h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 61¢ $6 3h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 23¢ $26 3h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Dayana Yastremska 40¢ $3 4h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $7 4h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $2 4h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-6.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 363 +0.0% -9.5% 54% 53% -6.2%
≤30d 939 +3.6% -6.3% 55% 53% -7.3%
≤90d 939 +3.6% -6.3% 55% 53% -7.3%
all 939 +3.6% -6.3% 55% 53% -7.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover128.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.3% 53% -7.3%
10% ← realistic here -15.2% 51% -16.2%
15% -23.4% 40% -24.3%
20% -30.9% 33% -31.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,071.48 · official $1,071.48 (match) · 3500 history records