Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:29:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1F
0x1faa…ad8a
crypto · 290 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,101 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$857 · open −$137
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$501
Realized−$857
Unrealized−$137
Win rate (resolved)12%
Wins / losses70 / 526
Whale WR (big bets)44%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)596 / 290
Avg bet$503
Trades / day2901.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 596 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$857
7 days−$857
14 days−$857
30 days−$857
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $250 $498 +$248 (+99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $140 $3 −$137 (-98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$349
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-55.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 596 -50.5% -55.2% 12% 0% -10.1%
≤30d 596 -50.5% -55.2% 12% 0% -10.1%
≤90d 596 -50.5% -55.2% 12% 0% -10.1%
all 596 -50.5% -55.2% 12% 0% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2901.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -55.2% 0% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -59.5% 0% -18.7%
15% -63.4% 0% -26.5%
20% -67.0% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $500.51 · official $500.51 (match) · 3500 history records