Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:26:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1F
0x1fad…20c6
crypto · 478 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$305 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$305 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$305
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses286 / 192
Est. fees paid−$21
Open positions0
Markets (closed)478 / 478
History coverage37d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day23.6
Drawdown76%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 478 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$626
7 days−$300
14 days−$140
30 days+$283
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Centurion 2: Arda Azkara vs Guillaume Dalmasso Guillaume Dalmasso 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$18 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$11 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$23 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$21 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$30 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$19 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$27 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$29 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$30 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$28 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$31 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $46 +$29 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$16 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$7 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$14 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% −$26
sports 15% +$384
other 1% −$43
weather 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $47 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $26 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 425 -7.6% -16.4% 58% 53% -12.7%
≤30d 467 -2.8% -12.1% 60% 55% -6.8%
≤90d 478 -2.5% -11.8% 60% 55% -6.7%
all 478 -2.5% -11.8% 60% 55% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 55% -6.7%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 49% -15.6%
15% -28.0% 42% -23.8%
20% -35.0% 35% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1244 history records