trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +6.2% | -3.9% | 86% | 14% | -0.4% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +11.2% | +0.6% | 83% | 17% | +0.0% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +11.2% | +0.6% | 83% | 17% | +0.0% |
| all | 26 | +8.0% | -2.2% | 85% | 19% | +15.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.2% | 19% | +15.4% |
| 10% | -11.6% | 15% | +4.4% |
| 15% | -20.1% | 12% | -5.7% |
| 20% | -28.0% | 12% | -15.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $187 | +$9 | +5% |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30? | Jun 20 | $5 | $0 | +7% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 19 | $111 | +$9 | +8% |
| Ebola case in the US by June 30? | Jun 18 | $1,288 | +$181 | +14% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on | Jun 17 | $343 | +$4 | +1% |
| Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026? | Jun 16 | $23 | +$2 | +10% |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30? | Jun 13 | $77 | −$1 | -1% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? | Jun 12 | $91 | +$9 | +10% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | Jun 12 | $1,313 | +$93 | +7% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | Jun 12 | $1,852 | +$95 | +5% |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026? | Jun 09 | $907 | +$630 | +70% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Jun 05 | $3,568 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January? | Jan 29 | $2,520 | +$155 | +6% |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? | Jan 29 | $12,807 | +$6,876 | +54% |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? | Jan 29 | $1,533 | +$999 | +65% |
| Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026? | Dec 31 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO da | Dec 21 | $16 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025? | Dec 16 | $254 | +$1 | +0% |
| Maduro out in 2025? | Dec 16 | $506 | +$11 | +2% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Dec 14 | $4,599 | +$25 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | Dec 13 | $105 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Dec 11 | $140 | +$12 | +9% |
| Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Dec 11 | $375 | +$5 | +1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 10? | Dec 10 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | Dec 10 | $499 | +$19 | +4% |
| Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025? | Dec 09 | $1 | $0 | +31% |