Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:26:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1F
0x1ff0…cd76
crypto · 62 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$33 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$33 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$33
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses43 / 19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)62 / 62
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day211.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 62 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33
7 days−$33
14 days−$33
30 days−$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$7 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$7 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$18 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$37
tech 3% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 12¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 7¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 -2.4% -11.7% 69% 39% -17.6%
≤30d 62 -2.4% -11.7% 69% 39% -17.6%
≤90d 62 -2.4% -11.7% 69% 39% -17.6%
all 62 -2.4% -11.7% 69% 39% -17.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover211.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 39% -17.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 21% -25.5%
15% -27.8% 16% -32.7%
20% -34.9% 10% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 283 history records