Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:00:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x2005…75ea
sports · 49 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$113,289 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$122,632 · open +$3,088
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$109,664
Realized−$122,632
Unrealized+$3,088
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses113 / 380
Whale WR (big bets)25%
Est. fees paid−$2,504
Open positions32
Markets (closed)493 / 49
Avg bet$11,375
Trades / day3429.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 32 History 493 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$122,632
7 days−$122,632
14 days−$122,632
30 days−$122,632
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 66¢ 64¢ $19,055 $18,495 −$560 (-3%)
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Marie Bouzkova 47¢ 52¢ $10,449 $11,568 +$1,119 (+11%)
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Mary Stoiana 56¢ 76¢ $7,864 $10,825 +$2,961 (+38%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 56¢ 57¢ $10,324 $10,641 +$316 (+3%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 47¢ 44¢ $10,907 $10,031 −$876 (-8%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 49¢ 50¢ $4,756 $4,833 +$77 (+2%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 68¢ 64¢ $4,341 $4,057 −$284 (-7%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Nuno Borges 72¢ 81¢ $3,250 $3,667 +$416 (+13%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 43¢ 54¢ $2,785 $3,490 +$704 (+25%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 72¢ 71¢ $3,429 $3,372 −$57 (-2%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 48¢ 46¢ $3,357 $3,252 −$105 (-3%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Yes 44¢ 46¢ $3,080 $3,185 +$105 (+3%)
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Oriol Roca Batalla 48¢ 46¢ $3,079 $2,965 −$114 (-4%)
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Dusan Lajovic 52¢ 54¢ $2,446 $2,531 +$86 (+4%)
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Caty McNally 77¢ 87¢ $2,210 $2,509 +$299 (+14%)
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Donna Vekic 47¢ 48¢ $2,403 $2,429 +$26 (+1%)
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Daniil Medvedev 86¢ 88¢ $2,214 $2,260 +$46 (+2%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 50¢ 52¢ $1,528 $1,590 +$61 (+4%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 48¢ 48¢ $1,379 $1,393 +$14 (+1%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 39¢ 42¢ $1,199 $1,293 +$93 (+8%)
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Tatiana Prozorova 65¢ 60¢ $1,351 $1,231 −$120 (-9%)
Makarska: Rebecca Sramkova vs Tara Wurth Tara Wurth 22¢ 50¢ $286 $651 +$365 (+127%)
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julie Struplova vs Martha Matoula Martha Matoula 44¢ 57¢ $485 $624 +$139 (+29%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Alicia Dudeney 21¢ 20¢ $484 $474 −$10 (-2%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Ajla Tomljanovic 33¢ 36¢ $442 $472 +$30 (+7%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Makarska: Rebecca Sramkova vs Tara Wurth Jun 12 $286 +$365 +127%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Valerio Aboian Jun 12 $52 $0 +0%
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Patrick Kypson Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Slovakia leading at halftime? Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
COD Meknès vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Iceland leading at halftime? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 −$18 -3056%
Spread: CD La Serena (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $0 $0 +8%
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $0 −$6 -2175%
Colombia vs. Costa Rica: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $0 $0 +2%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +70%
Roland Garros ATP: Michael Zheng vs Dino Prizmic Jun 12 $724 −$437 -60%
Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musetti Jun 12 $1,198 −$103 -9%
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-04-18? Jun 12 $70 −$160 -230%
Frosinone Calcio vs. Mantova 1911: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 +$38 +4739%
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-04-22? Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $2,461 −$2,476 -101%
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $48 +$712 +1478%
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw? Jun 12 $138 −$122 -88%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 12 $342 −$267 -78%
Pharco FC vs. El Gouna SC: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5) Jun 12 $28 +$418 +1469%
Derby County FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $64 −$11 -18%
Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $66 +$112 +170%
Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
AZ vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1,021 −$952 -93%
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $574 −$579 -101%
Parma: Lisa Pigato vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 12 $445 +$29 +6%
Birmingham City FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $213 −$32 -15%
Karlsruher SC vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1,113 −$1,102 -99%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1,278 −$1,708 -134%
Spread: OL Lyonnes (-2.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2,021 −$2,295 -114%
Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5) Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $2,340 −$1,920 -82%
Spread: Portsmouth FC (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $447 −$314 -70%
CR Vasco da Gama vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 -0%
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. FC Andorra: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1,102 −$1,101 -100%
Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $76 +$704 +925%
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-05-08? Jun 12 $509 +$79 +16%
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $2,517 +$138 +6%
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $712 −$711 -100%
Will FC Südtirol win on 2026-04-25? Jun 12 $47 +$100 +214%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $970 +$8,437 +870%
Zagreb: Nerman Fatic vs Elmer Moeller Jun 12 $1,323 −$1,320 -100%
Shōnan Bellmāre vs. Vegalta Sendai: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 62% −$46,658
sports 38% +$57,778
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 33¢ $330 4m
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Dusan Lajovic 52¢ $5 11m
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Dusan Lajovic 53¢ $563 11m
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Dusan Lajovic 53¢ $3 14m
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Dusan Lajovic 53¢ $3 16m
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Dusan Lajovic 53¢ $3 17m
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Dane Sweeny 27¢ $3 28m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 42¢ $44 35m
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 47¢ $9 47m
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Dusan Lajovic 51¢ $749 47m
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Dusan Lajovic 51¢ $550 47m
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Dusan Lajovic 52¢ $558 47m
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 47¢ $376 47m
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Dusan Lajovic 52¢ $3 50m
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Dusan Lajovic 52¢ $10 52m
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 47¢ $141 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Dane Sweeny 28¢ $0 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Dane Sweeny 28¢ $33 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 7¢ $132 1h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 47¢ $170 1h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Keegan Smith 34¢ $9 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Billy Harris 70¢ $32 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Billy Harris 70¢ $6 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Billy Harris 70¢ $32 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 55¢ $6 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 55¢ $3 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Billy Harris 70¢ $4 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 55¢ $12 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Billy Harris 70¢ $15 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Billy Harris 70¢ $21 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)+22.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 493 +35.5% +22.6% 23% 20% -22.7%
≤30d 493 +35.5% +22.6% 23% 20% -22.7%
≤90d 493 +35.5% +22.6% 23% 20% -22.7%
all 493 +35.5% +22.6% 23% 20% -22.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3429.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +22.6% 20% -22.7%
10% +10.8% 18% -30.1%
15% ← realistic here +0.1% 16% -36.9%
20% -9.7% 15% -43.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $109,663.50 · official $109,658.71 (match) · 3500 history records