Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:11:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x2023…2d55
sports · 113 markets active 424d ago
0.0score
+$2,450 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,450 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,450
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses77 / 36
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)113 / 113
Avg bet$381
Trades / day82.7
Drawdown18%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 0 History 113 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will another team win La Liga? Aug 27 $0 +$5 +9536%
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 14 $9 +$99 +1098%
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting? Apr 14 $1,144 +$14 +1%
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL? Apr 14 $53 $0 -0%
Trump declassifies UFO files in first 100 days? Apr 14 $59 +$1 +2%
Arsenal wins the Premier League? Apr 14 $45 +$121 +267%
Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 20 Apr 14 $131 −$4 -3%
Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act signed into law by March 31? Apr 14 $99 +$1 +1%
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 President’s Trophy? Apr 14 $8 $0 -0%
Brighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League? Apr 14 $59 −$59 -100%
TikTok sale announced before April? Apr 14 $112 +$19 +17%
Jumper airdrop in Q1 2025? Apr 14 $8 +$51 +600%
Will Girona FC win La Liga? Mar 18 $5 +$18 +377%
Will Norman Powell win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved? Mar 18 $53 +$153 +290%
Will Evan Mobley win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? Mar 18 $50 −$45 -91%
Will Stephon Castle win NBA Rookie of the Year? Mar 18 $50 −$22 -44%
Will Shedeur Sanders be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? Mar 18 $73 +$82 +113%
Bitcoin all time high by March 31? Mar 18 $803 +$15 +2%
Solana all time high by March 31? Mar 18 $335 +$47 +14%
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29? Mar 18 $50 +$98 +196%
Will Trump eliminate daylight saving time in first 100 days? Mar 18 $414 −$47 -11%
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days? Mar 18 $149 +$136 +91%
Trump signs national abortion ban? Mar 18 $50 +$10 +19%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31? Mar 17 $39 +$107 +274%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31? Mar 17 $380 +$360 +95%
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? Mar 17 $572 +$157 +28%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? Mar 17 $199 +$27 +14%
Will Atalanta win the Serie A? Mar 17 $49 +$25 +50%
Trump tariffs on Mexico in effect by May 1? Mar 17 $97 +$1 +0%
Trump negative approval before May? Mar 17 $215 −$51 -24%
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15? Mar 17 $50 +$73 +146%
Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League? Mar 17 $4 −$3 -74%
Trump negative approval before April? Mar 17 $367 −$37 -10%
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League? Mar 17 $242 −$242 -100%
Crystal Palace wins the Premier League? Mar 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Will PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League? Mar 17 $75 −$75 -100%
Yoon released from custody before April? Mar 17 $816 −$183 -22%
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? Mar 17 $151 +$166 +110%
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days? Mar 16 $296 +$94 +32%
Will GPT-5 be released by June 30? Mar 15 $50 +$41 +83%
Will Cameron Ward be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? Mar 14 $75 +$36 +48%
Will Abdul Carter be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? Mar 14 $49 +$36 +73%
Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romani Mar 14 $50 −$45 -90%
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June? Mar 13 $604 +$1 +0%
Will Roma win the UEFA Europa League? Mar 13 $148 −$3 -2%
Will Leon Draisaitl win the Hart Trophy? Mar 12 $50 −$3 -6%
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested before April? Mar 12 $256 +$24 +10%
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League? Mar 12 $100 −$23 -23%
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1? Mar 12 $625 +$2 +0%
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025? Mar 11 $204 +$10 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 32% +$195
crypto 25% +$704
politics 18% +$734
sports 12% +$564
other 6% +$111
economics 5% +$79
tech 3% +$64
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? SELL No 96¢ $0 424d
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting? SELL Yes 80¢ $4 424d
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL? SELL No 100¢ $4 424d
Trump declassifies UFO files in first 100 days? SELL No 98¢ $3 424d
Arsenal wins the Premier League? SELL No 100¢ $3 424d
Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair? SELL No 97¢ $1 424d
Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 20 SELL Yes 24¢ $0 424d
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 424d
Will another team win La Liga? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 429d
Will another team win La Liga? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 430d
Will another team win La Liga? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 431d
Will another team win La Liga? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 432d
Will another team win La Liga? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 435d
Will another team win La Liga? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 439d
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 President’s Trophy? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 443d
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 President’s Trophy? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 443d
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 President’s Trophy? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 443d
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 President’s Trophy? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 443d
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 President’s Trophy? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 443d
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 President’s Trophy? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 443d
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 President’s Trophy? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 443d
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 President’s Trophy? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 443d
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 President’s Trophy? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 443d
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 President’s Trophy? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 443d
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 444d
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 President’s Trophy? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 445d
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 President’s Trophy? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 445d
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 President’s Trophy? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 446d
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 President’s Trophy? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 446d
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 President’s Trophy? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 446d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)+40.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 113 +55.1% +40.3% 68% 36% -4.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover82.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +40.3% 36% -4.4%
10% ← realistic here +26.9% 30% -13.5%
15% +14.6% 22% -21.9%
20% +3.4% 19% -29.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records