Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:07:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x2029…3124
crypto · 1869 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$24,970 -93%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9,155 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$196
Realized−$9,155
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses1468 / 663
Open positions5
Markets (closed)2131 / 1869
History coverage36d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day56.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 2131 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9,360
7 days−$9,097
14 days−$8,965
30 days−$8,703
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 94¢ 95¢ $49 $49 +$0 (+1%)
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? No 91¢ 89¢ $48 $47 −$1 (-2%)
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? No 90¢ 86¢ $49 $46 −$3 (-5%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 90¢ 81¢ $49 $44 −$5 (-10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 86¢ 86¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$38 -1749%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$5 -817%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$11 -287%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$3 -886%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$16 -185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $195 −$195 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$12 -5627%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$8 -2186%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -824%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$6 -116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $92 −$399 -435%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$15 -126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$11 -170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% +$464
world 6% +$21
politics 2% −$2
other 2% −$85
culture 0% +$10
tech 0% +$6
economics 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $10 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 30m
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? BUY No 91¢ $48 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)-19.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 576 -46.0% -51.2% 39% 38% -74.6%
≤30d 1550 -14.2% -22.4% 66% 64% -38.7%
≤90d 2131 -10.8% -19.3% 69% 65% -30.3%
all 2131 -10.8% -19.3% 69% 65% -30.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.3% 65% -30.3%
10% ← realistic here -27.0% 32% -37.0%
15% -34.0% 15% -43.1%
20% -40.5% 7% -48.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $196.17 · official $192.79 · 3500 history records