trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -14.3% | -22.4% | 50% | 50% | -18.1% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -14.3% | -22.4% | 50% | 50% | -18.1% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -26.4% | -33.4% | 42% | 8% | -21.8% |
| all | 12 | -26.4% | -33.4% | 42% | 8% | -21.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -33.4% | 8% | -21.8% |
| 10% | -39.8% | 0% | -29.3% |
| 15% | -45.6% | 0% | -36.1% |
| 20% | -50.9% | 0% | -42.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit? | No | 8¢ | 8¢ | $64 | $64 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? | Jun 24 | $56 | +$8 | +14% |
| Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30? | Jun 17 | $40 | −$17 | -43% |
| Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5) | May 20 | $470 | +$25 | +5% |
| Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31? | May 19 | $466 | +$1 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 17 | $472 | $0 | -0% |
| Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5) | May 14 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026? | May 14 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-2.5) | May 13 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 13 | $37 | +$2 | +5% |
| Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | Apr 26 | $432 | +$4 | +1% |
| Spread: Vanraure Hachinohe FC (-2.5) | Apr 08 | $306 | −$306 | -100% |
| EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30? | Apr 08 | $17 | $0 | +0% |