Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:37:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x204f…0026
crypto · 203 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$166 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$83 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$83
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses137 / 66
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)203 / 203
History coverage2d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day161.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 203 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$83
7 days+$83
14 days+$83
30 days+$83
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$7 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$4 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$10 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$8 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$16 +157%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$22 +74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$6 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $45 +$33 +74%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $35 +$30 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $68 +$20 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$117
other 1% −$21
sports 0% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $31 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $7 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $6 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 203 -1.8% -11.2% 67% 58% -7.2%
≤30d 203 -1.8% -11.2% 67% 58% -7.2%
≤90d 203 -1.8% -11.2% 67% 58% -7.2%
all 203 -1.8% -11.2% 67% 58% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover161.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 58% -7.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 44% -16.1%
15% -27.4% 30% -24.2%
20% -34.5% 19% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 454 history records