Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:34:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x204f…5e14
sports · 369 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$181,657 +26%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$161,378 · open +$23,830
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Chart Positions 419 History 21 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$161,378
7 days+$161,378
14 days+$161,378
30 days+$161,378
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $128,855 $128,902 +$47 (+0%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 42¢ 42¢ $77,297 $76,943 −$354 (-0%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 42¢ 42¢ $69,424 $68,171 −$1,254 (-2%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 77¢ 78¢ $35,848 $36,605 +$757 (+2%)
Spread: Qatar (-3.5) Switzerland 100¢ 100¢ $33,321 $33,297 −$24 (-0%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $33,260 $33,175 −$85 (-0%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 84¢ $31,157 $31,362 +$205 (+1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 54¢ $28,341 $28,608 +$268 (+1%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 93¢ 94¢ $27,120 $27,509 +$388 (+1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $26,969 $26,329 −$640 (-2%)
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Caty McNally 82¢ 100¢ $20,499 $24,881 +$4,382 (+21%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? No 94¢ 96¢ $20,657 $21,174 +$517 (+3%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $21,191 $21,033 −$158 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $20,373 $21,016 +$642 (+3%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? No 88¢ 88¢ $15,632 $15,769 +$137 (+1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 52¢ $14,355 $14,496 +$141 (+1%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? No 97¢ 97¢ $13,966 $14,050 +$84 (+1%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Elena Rybakina 81¢ 82¢ $12,813 $13,104 +$292 (+2%)
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Japan 75¢ 74¢ $13,043 $12,961 −$81 (-1%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? No 81¢ 81¢ $12,753 $12,836 +$84 (+1%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 47¢ 48¢ $12,457 $12,578 +$120 (+1%)
Spread: Spain (-2.5) Spain 51¢ 52¢ $12,118 $12,349 +$231 (+2%)
Spread: United States (-2.5) Paraguay 91¢ 92¢ $11,893 $12,070 +$177 (+1%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Under 57¢ 56¢ $11,428 $11,322 −$106 (-1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Switzerland 32¢ 34¢ $10,493 $11,016 +$523 (+5%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang Jun 12 $4,099 +$833 +20%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese Jun 12 $9,471 −$3,115 -33%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $34,695 +$43,172 +124%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $482 +$46,301 +9600%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $20,087 +$4,793 +24%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $20,454 −$4,521 -22%
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Thanapet Chanta Jun 12 $61 +$73 +120%
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Li Jun 12 $6,378 +$389 +6%
ITF Maanshan: Dong Ju Kim vs Matthew Dellavedova Jun 12 $58 −$52 -90%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $1,623 +$5,887 +363%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5) Jun 12 $119 +$218 +183%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $810 +$2,862 +354%
ITF Wuning: Anchisa Chanta vs Mai Hontama Jun 12 $14 +$568 +4182%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5) Jun 12 $164 +$160 +97%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5) Jun 12 $174 +$4,004 +2303%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $7,266 +$1,952 +27%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $6,743 +$39,509 +586%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $599 +$419 +70%
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) Jun 12 $785 +$3,203 +408%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $987 +$14,534 +1472%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $733 +$190 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 58% +$103,277
sports 42% +$81,925
world 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse BUY Barbora Krejcikova 93¢ $9 0m
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato BUY Jesper de Jong 62¢ $13 0m
Spain leading at halftime? BUY No 28¢ $2 0m
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse BUY Barbora Krejcikova 90¢ $32 0m
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato BUY Jesper de Jong 60¢ $36 0m
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over $20 0m
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 34¢ $14 1m
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato BUY Marco Cecchinato 40¢ $6 1m
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse BUY Barbora Krejcikova 89¢ $71 1m
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Marie Bouzkova 34¢ $706 1m
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 1.5 BUY Over 20¢ $2 1m
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 42¢ $4 1m
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 1.5 BUY Under 78¢ $573 1m
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Tristan Boyer 46¢ $198 1m
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 1.5 BUY Under 78¢ $550 2m
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Marie Bouzkova 33¢ $0 2m
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Marie Bouzkova 33¢ $2 2m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Katie Swan 35¢ $2 2m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 62¢ $9 2m
Spain leading at halftime? BUY No 28¢ $1 2m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 36¢ $467 2m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 49¢ $5 2m
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Marie Bouzkova 48¢ $231 2m
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 41¢ $850 3m
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Tristan Boyer 46¢ $237 3m
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Gabriella Price BUY Gabriella Price 15¢ $16 3m
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 45¢ $5 3m
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY Dali Blanch $6 3m
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse BUY Gabriela Ruse 17¢ $13 3m
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 54¢ $421 3m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +81%
net ROI/market (all)+409.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 +463.5% +409.9% 86% 81% +87.3%
≤30d 21 +463.5% +409.9% 86% 81% +87.3%
≤90d 21 +463.5% +409.9% 86% 81% +87.3%
all 21 +463.5% +409.9% 86% 81% +87.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3428.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +409.9% 81% +87.3%
10% +361.1% 76% +69.4%
15% ← realistic here +316.5% 62% +53.0%
20% +275.7% 62% +38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,332,711.50 · official $1,382,339.81 · 3500 history records