Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:35:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x2052…e9bb
weather · 68 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$18 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$21 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized−$21
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses24 / 40
Open positions4
Markets (closed)64 / 68
History coverage3d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day34.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$21
14 days−$21
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 14? No 67¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+49%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on June 12? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will XRP reach $1.20 on June 11? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 12? No 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? Yes 76¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 11? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 12? No 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 12? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Solana reach $70 on June 11? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will XRP dip to $1.10 on June 11? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12? No 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 12? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 12? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 14? Jun 14 $9 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 14? Jun 14 $9 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 14? Jun 14 $9 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 13? Jun 14 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 14? Jun 14 $4 +$1 +13%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 14? Jun 14 $5 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on June 14? Jun 13 $10 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on June Jun 13 $9 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 13? Jun 13 $10 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 13 $10 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 14? Jun 13 $9 $0 -0%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 12? Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 13? Jun 13 $9 $0 -1%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 12? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 13 $8 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $8 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 12? Jun 13 $4 +$6 +159%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $8 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $8 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $6 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $8 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $9 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 12? Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $8 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju Jun 12 $9 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 12? Jun 12 $9 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 13? Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 12? Jun 12 $6 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June Jun 12 $7 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Will XRP reach $1.15 on June 11? Jun 11 $4 +$16 +385%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +34%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on June 12? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 12? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 12? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -94%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -94%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 12? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Will XRP reach $1.20 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 72% −$13
crypto 28% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $3 13m
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $9 31m
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $9 32m
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $9 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $9 1h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $9 2h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $9 2h
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $10 5h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $5 10h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $3 10h
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $5 10h
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $5 12h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 14? BUY No 67¢ $3 12h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $10 14h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $10 14h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on June SELL No 100¢ $9 16h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on June BUY No 100¢ $9 16h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $10 16h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $10 16h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $10 18h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $3 18h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $10 18h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $9 21h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $9 21h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 14? BUY No 88¢ $4 21h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $10 30h
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 13? SELL No 99¢ $9 32h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $5 32h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $8 32h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $8 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-23.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 -15.6% -23.7% 38% 20% -15.0%
≤30d 64 -15.6% -23.7% 38% 20% -15.0%
≤90d 64 -15.6% -23.7% 38% 20% -15.0%
all 64 -15.6% -23.7% 38% 20% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.7% 20% -15.0%
10% ← realistic here -31.0% 17% -23.1%
15% -37.6% 14% -30.6%
20% -43.8% 9% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.06 · official $21.06 (match) · 121 history records