Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:27:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x2057…4f1b
crypto · 49 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$6,597 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,597 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$6,597
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses43 / 6
Whale WR (big bets)85%
Est. fees paid−$124
Open positions0
Markets (closed)49 / 49
History coverage56d
Avg bet$1,174
Trades / day2.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 49 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,876
7 days−$7,125
14 days−$6,685
30 days−$6,685
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10,009 −$9,549 -95%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand Jun 13 $1,522 +$599 +39%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $10,953 +$1,073 +10%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 11 $11,188 +$752 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 02 $302 +$33 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 02 $401 +$19 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 02 $1,699 +$16 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 02 $600 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 02 $103 +$35 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 02 $101 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 02 $102 +$29 +29%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $304 +$6 +2%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrain Jun 01 $572 −$51 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 01 $202 +$32 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 01 $100 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 01 $201 +$11 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 01 $302 +$27 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 01 $302 +$31 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 01 $304 +$58 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 01 $300 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 01 $301 +$15 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 01 $48 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 01 $401 +$15 +4%
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs Pakistan May 31 $98 +$9 +9%
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands May 31 $1,171 +$113 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET May 31 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET May 31 $20 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET May 31 $101 +$22 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Apr 22 $1,192 −$80 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Apr 22 $1,181 +$11 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Apr 22 $100 +$18 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Apr 20 $1,151 +$11 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Apr 20 $2 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Apr 20 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Apr 20 $100 +$18 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Apr 19 $1,122 +$11 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Apr 19 $1,101 +$21 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Apr 19 $1,091 +$10 +1%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants Apr 19 $500 +$4 +1%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royals Apr 19 $1,707 +$84 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Apr 19 $1,005 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Apr 19 $995 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Apr 18 $985 +$11 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Apr 18 $977 +$8 +1%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals Apr 18 $209 −$83 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Apr 18 $1,062 +$4 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Apr 18 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Apr 18 $100 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Apr 18 $1,038 +$9 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 49% +$2,499
crypto 34% +$452
other 17% −$9,549
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 2¢ $70 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 6¢ $390 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 97¢ $10,009 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL West Indies 98¢ $1,471 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL West Indies 44¢ $650 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY West Indies 40¢ $509 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY West Indies 57¢ $1,013 2h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL India 100¢ $12,026 5h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 85¢ $340 9h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 87¢ $53 9h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 87¢ $817 9h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 89¢ $978 9h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 89¢ $71 9h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 89¢ $0 9h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 89¢ $0 9h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 89¢ $0 9h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 89¢ $0 9h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 89¢ $0 9h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 89¢ $2 9h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 89¢ $384 9h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 89¢ $2 9h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 89¢ $0 9h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 89¢ $379 9h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 89¢ $71 9h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 89¢ $9 9h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 89¢ $71 9h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 89¢ $9 9h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 89¢ $2,759 9h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 94¢ $5,009 9h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Bangladesh 100¢ $11,940 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -9.9% -18.5% 75% 25% -28.7%
≤30d 28 +4.0% -5.9% 89% 29% -24.0%
≤90d 49 +2.3% -7.5% 88% 20% -19.9%
all 49 +2.3% -7.5% 88% 20% -19.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.5% 20% -19.9%
10% -16.3% 8% -27.6%
15% -24.4% 4% -34.6%
20% -31.8% 0% -41.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 183 history records