trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $19,340 | $19,359 | +$19 (+0%) |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $7,775 | $9,071 | +$1,296 (+17%) |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1,661 | $3,010 | +$1,349 (+81%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 5¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+27%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualif | Jun 01 | $2,661 | −$2,661 | -100% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds | May 30 | $5,028 | −$5,028 | -100% |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | May 30 | $5,989 | −$5,989 | -100% |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) | May 29 | $12,489 | +$5,444 | +44% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1? | May 29 | $1,017 | −$1,017 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner | May 29 | $2,481 | −$2,481 | -100% |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | May 29 | $9,965 | +$15,222 | +153% |
| World Championships: Norway vs. Latvia | May 29 | $160 | −$160 | -100% |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 | May 29 | $1,941 | −$1,941 | -100% |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | May 28 | $4,990 | −$4,990 | -100% |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles | May 28 | $13,000 | −$13,000 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 11 | -64.0% | -67.4% | 18% | 18% | -34.7% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -64.0% | -67.4% | 18% | 18% | -34.7% |
| all | 11 | -64.0% | -67.4% | 18% | 18% | -34.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -67.4% | 18% | -34.7% |
| 10% | -70.5% | 18% | -40.9% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -73.4% | 18% | -46.6% |
| 20% | -76.0% | 9% | -51.9% |