Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:59:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x205c…03d4
crypto · 26 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$97 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$97 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$97
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses13 / 13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)26 / 26
History coverage1d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day28.0
Drawdown35%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 26 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$97
7 days+$97
14 days+$97
30 days+$97
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$26 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$27 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$6 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$26 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$27 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$23 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$24 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$34 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$24 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$26 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$23 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $287 +$113 +39%
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 ( Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 68% −$9
tech 31% +$113
finance 1% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $26 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $26 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $26 4h
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 ( BUY Yes 37¢ $7 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 71¢ $287 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -5.2% -14.2% 50% 46% +0.1%
≤30d 26 -5.2% -14.2% 50% 46% +0.1%
≤90d 26 -5.2% -14.2% 50% 46% +0.1%
all 26 -5.2% -14.2% 50% 46% +0.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.2% 46% +0.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 46% -9.4%
15% -29.9% 42% -18.2%
20% -36.8% 38% -26.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 41 history records