Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:52:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x206a…3197
crypto · 650 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$16,576 +253%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$96 · open +$45
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$508
Realized+$96
Unrealized+$45
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses305 / 558
Open positions4
Markets (closed)863 / 650
History coverage2d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day1309.9
Drawdown98%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 4 History 863 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$42
7 days+$96
14 days+$96
30 days+$96
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-14? Yes 49¢ 52¢ $243 $253 +$10 (+4%)
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-06-14? Yes 12¢ 22¢ $56 $101 +$45 (+79%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 44¢ 100¢ $13 $30 +$17 (+129%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $15 $28 +$13 (+83%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $14 $28 +$14 (+106%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 57¢ 100¢ $13 $23 +$10 (+76%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 83¢ 100¢ $12 $14 +$2 (+20%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 47¢ 100¢ $7 $14 +$7 (+113%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $4 $8 +$4 (+92%)
Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2026-06-14? Yes 59¢ 26¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-55%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 82¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+22%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 47¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+113%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 73¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+37%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 68¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+47%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 80¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+25%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 30¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+233%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 73¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 71¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+41%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 33¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+203%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 71¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+41%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 47¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+113%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 35¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+186%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 70¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+43%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$17 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$13 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$14 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$10 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$2 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$7 +113%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +92%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +113%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +37%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +47%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +233%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +37%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +203%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +113%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +186%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-05-31? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% +$1,276
other 5% +$54
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 0m
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 0m
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 1m
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 84¢ $4 1m
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 1m
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 84¢ $4 2m
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 2m
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 2m
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 3m
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 3m
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 83¢ $4 3m
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 4m
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 5m
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 5m
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $5 5m
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 34¢ $2 6m
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 7m
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 7m
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 8m
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 8m
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 8m
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 9m
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 9m
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 87¢ $4 10m
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 87¢ $4 10m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-36.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 863 -29.3% -36.0% 35% 32% -8.3%
≤30d 863 -29.3% -36.0% 35% 32% -8.3%
≤90d 863 -29.3% -36.0% 35% 32% -8.3%
all 863 -29.3% -36.0% 35% 32% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1309.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -36.0% 32% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -42.2% 27% -17.0%
15% -47.7% 21% -25.1%
20% -52.9% 16% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $507.77 · official $501.02 · 3500 history records