trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -26.5% | -33.5% | 67% | 33% | -35.4% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -12.5% | -20.8% | 80% | 20% | -22.5% |
| ≤90d | 29 | -3.7% | -12.8% | 41% | 3% | -9.7% |
| all | 29 | -3.7% | -12.8% | 41% | 3% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.8% | 3% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -21.2% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -28.8% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -35.8% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5 | Over | 90¢ | 90¢ | $16 | $16 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 92¢ | 89¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 0.5 | Jun 15 | $14 | +$2 | +11% |
| Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-24? | Jun 09 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5 | Jun 09 | $18 | +$2 | +10% |
| Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 5.5 | May 24 | $16 | +$1 | +7% |
| SE Palmeiras vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 4.5 | May 24 | $15 | +$2 | +10% |
| Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? | Apr 03 | $23 | −$6 | -25% |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" be the highest grossing movie this weekend? | Apr 02 | $150 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: CSD Cobán Imperial (-2.5) | Apr 01 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Wizards vs. Trail Blazers | Mar 30 | $16 | +$1 | +9% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | Mar 30 | $5 | $0 | +10% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on | Mar 29 | $17 | −$2 | -10% |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026? | Mar 29 | $1,399 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 202 | Mar 29 | $25 | $0 | -2% |
| Will UK strike Iran by April 30? | Mar 29 | $13 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will Tisza win 80–89 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this | Mar 29 | $757 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Contr | Mar 29 | $749 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? | Mar 29 | $18 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will Steve Hershey win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary e | Mar 29 | $725 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | Mar 29 | $22 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? | Mar 29 | $699 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 National League Championship Seri | Mar 29 | $13 | −$1 | -7% |
| Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Mar 29 | $702 | $0 | -0% |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | Mar 29 | $742 | +$1 | +0% |
| 2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 40% by March 31? | Mar 29 | $12 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? | Mar 29 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait o | Mar 29 | $784 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Mar 29 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? | Mar 29 | $734 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June? | Mar 29 | $761 | +$2 | +0% |