Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:59:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x2070…8a3c
crypto · 894 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$390 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$389 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$185
Realized−$389
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses442 / 451
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)893 / 894
History coverage39d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day34.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 893 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$105
7 days−$105
14 days−$99
30 days−$249
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $186 $185 −$2 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $64 −$62 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $89 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $98 −$10 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $96 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$11 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $56 +$32 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $39 +$17 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$20 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$6 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $101 −$100 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$15 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $111 +$10 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$6 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET May 31 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET May 31 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET May 31 $14 −$5 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET May 31 $16 +$15 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET May 31 $21 +$14 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 30 $17 −$16 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 30 $8 −$8 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$379
other 3% −$9
sports 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $189 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $64 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $31 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $95 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $89 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $89 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $87 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $86 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $45 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $56 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $39 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $39 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $13 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -15.5% -23.6% 54% 44% -20.7%
≤30d 665 -10.9% -19.3% 48% 46% -15.5%
≤90d 893 -7.3% -16.2% 49% 47% -15.2%
all 893 -7.3% -16.2% 49% 47% -15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.2% 47% -15.2%
10% ← realistic here -24.2% 43% -23.3%
15% -31.5% 40% -30.7%
20% -38.2% 36% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $184.92 · official $184.92 (match) · 1703 history records