Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:58:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x2073…3841
crypto · 113 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$5 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses47 / 66
Open positions0
Markets (closed)113 / 113
History coverage83d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 113 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 09 $0 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 09 $0 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 09 $0 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 09 $0 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 09 $0 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 09 $0 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 09 $0 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 09 $0 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET May 25 $1 $0 -3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET May 25 $1 $0 -37%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Apr 30 $1 $0 -33%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Apr 30 $1 $0 -23%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Apr 30 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Apr 30 $1 −$1 -48%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Apr 30 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Apr 30 $1 $0 -75%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Apr 30 $0 $0 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Apr 29 $1 $0 -10%
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Apr 29 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Apr 24 $0 $0 -10%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Apr 24 $0 $0 -40%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Apr 24 $0 $0 +83%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Apr 24 $0 $0 -40%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Apr 24 $0 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Apr 24 $0 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Apr 23 $0 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Apr 23 $0 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Apr 23 $0 $0 -50%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Apr 23 $0 +$1 +110%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Apr 23 $0 +$1 +180%
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Apr 22 $0 $0 -60%
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Apr 22 $0 +$1 +130%
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Apr 22 $0 $0 -20%
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Apr 22 $0 $0 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Apr 22 $0 $0 -40%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Apr 21 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Apr 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Apr 21 $1 +$1 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Apr 21 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Apr 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $0 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $0 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $0 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $1 19d
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 19d
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $1 19d
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 19d
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $1 43d
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 43d
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $1 44d
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $1 44d
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 44d
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 44d
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $1 44d
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 44d
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 44d
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 44d
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 44d
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $0 44d
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 44d
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $1 44d
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 44d
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 45d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -20.5% -28.1% 24% 18% -12.4%
≤30d 19 -20.5% -28.0% 21% 16% -16.5%
≤90d 113 -6.4% -15.3% 42% 35% -14.0%
all 113 -6.4% -15.3% 42% 35% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.3% 35% -14.0%
10% -23.4% 27% -22.2%
15% -30.8% 22% -29.7%
20% -37.6% 18% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 239 history records