Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:54:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x2080…3948
other · 5 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$14 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$12
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses1 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)2 / 5
History coverage2d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day3.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit20%
Chart Positions 3 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$12
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-98%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $19 +$19 +103%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 91% −$17
sports 9% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 30¢ $5 1h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 8¢ $5 2h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 3¢ $5 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $31 26h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $19 45h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +1.7% -8.0% 50% 50% -30.8%
≤30d 2 +1.7% -8.0% 50% 50% -30.8%
≤90d 2 +1.7% -8.0% 50% 50% -30.8%
all 2 +1.7% -8.0% 50% 50% -30.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.0% 50% -30.8%
10% -16.8% 50% -37.4%
15% -24.8% 50% -43.5%
20% -32.2% 50% -49.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.07 · official $5.07 (match) · 8 history records