Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:22:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x2097…8b03
other · 1369 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,325 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,317 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,095
Realized−$1,317
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses1080 / 282
Est. fees paid−$75
Open positions11
Markets (closed)1362 / 1369
History coverage93d
Avg bet$95
Trades / day26.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit39%
Chart Positions 11 History 1362 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$189
7 days−$236
14 days−$127
30 days−$1,078
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 93¢ 96¢ $100 $104 +$4 (+4%)
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes 93¢ 95¢ $100 $102 +$2 (+2%)
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No 98¢ 99¢ $100 $102 +$2 (+2%)
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? No 99¢ 100¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 89¢ 90¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 94¢ 95¢ $100 $101 +$0 (+0%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 81¢ 80¢ $100 $100 −$1 (-1%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 77¢ 76¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 91¢ 89¢ $100 $98 −$2 (-2%)
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes 94¢ 90¢ $101 $96 −$5 (-5%)
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? SpaceX 94¢ 86¢ $100 $91 −$9 (-9%)
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-05-17? No 79¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Ghazl El Mahalla SC win on 2026-05-18? No 78¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-17? No 74¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Petrojet SC win on 2026-05-13? No 80¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will AC Reggiana 1919 win on 2026-05-08? No 72¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-05-16? No 76¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will ZED FC win on 2026-05-07? No 79¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-05-16? No 74¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-07? No 75¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-05-02? No 86¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Grenoble Foot 38 win on 2026-05-09? No 74¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-03? No 81¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Spurs 84¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-05-22? No 72¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $100 +$11 +11%
Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $101 +$21 +21%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $100 +$11 +11%
Will United States win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $101 +$21 +21%
Will Luxembourg win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $101 −$100 -100%
Will Greece win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $100 +$28 +27%
Will Guinea win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $101 +$34 +34%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Jun 02 $100 +$6 +6%
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-01? Jun 02 $101 +$17 +17%
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $100 +$15 +14%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $101 +$23 +23%
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? Jun 01 $100 +$10 +10%
Will SD Huesca win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $101 +$17 +17%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? Jun 01 $100 +$7 +7%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $100 +$7 +7%
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $101 +$38 +38%
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $101 +$20 +20%
Will Australia win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $100 +$20 +20%
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $101 −$100 -99%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $101 +$13 +13%
Will Ukraine win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $101 −$100 -99%
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $21 −$20 -98%
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $101 +$34 +34%
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $101 +$26 +26%
Will North Macedonia win on 2026-05-29? May 30 $101 +$13 +13%
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $101 +$21 +21%
Will AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $100 +$15 +14%
Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $101 +$24 +24%
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $100 +$11 +11%
Will Granada CF win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $100 +$15 +14%
Will AD Tarma win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $100 +$16 +16%
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-05-22? May 24 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $101 −$100 -99%
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $101 +$24 +24%
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $100 +$22 +22%
Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $100 +$18 +18%
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $100 +$14 +14%
Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $101 −$100 -99%
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $101 +$23 +23%
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $101 +$24 +24%
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $99 −$99 -99%
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $100 +$19 +18%
Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $101 −$100 -100%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $101 −$100 -100%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $101 −$100 -99%
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-05-23? May 24 $100 +$30 +30%
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-23? May 24 $101 +$23 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 64% −$1,001
sports 34% +$500
world 1% −$138
crypto 0% −$486
tech 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 77¢ $101 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 81¢ $101 1h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 90¢ $100 2d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Alexander Zverev 90¢ $100 4d
Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07? BUY No 82¢ $101 5d
Will Luxembourg win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 85¢ $101 5d
Will United States win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 82¢ $101 5d
Will Greece win on 2026-06-04? BUY No 78¢ $100 8d
Will Guinea win on 2026-06-04? BUY No 74¢ $101 8d
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 94¢ $100 10d
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 89¢ $101 10d
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-01? BUY No 85¢ $101 10d
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-01? BUY No 87¢ $100 10d
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-01? BUY No 81¢ $101 10d
Will SD Huesca win on 2026-05-31? BUY No 85¢ $101 11d
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-31? BUY No 76¢ $101 11d
Will Ukraine win on 2026-05-31? BUY No 79¢ $101 11d
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-31? BUY No 72¢ $101 11d
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-05-31? BUY Yes 17¢ $21 11d
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-31? BUY No 83¢ $101 11d
Will Australia win on 2026-05-30? BUY No 83¢ $17 12d
Will Australia win on 2026-05-30? BUY No 83¢ $24 12d
Will Australia win on 2026-05-30? BUY No 83¢ $5 12d
Will Australia win on 2026-05-30? BUY No 83¢ $18 12d
Will Australia win on 2026-05-30? BUY No 83¢ $10 12d
Will Australia win on 2026-05-30? BUY No 83¢ $5 12d
Will Australia win on 2026-05-30? BUY No 83¢ $5 12d
Will Australia win on 2026-05-30? BUY No 83¢ $17 12d
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-30? BUY No 74¢ $101 12d
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY No 79¢ $101 12d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -33.7% -40.0% 57% 57% -39.9%
≤30d 156 -9.7% -18.3% 73% 69% -15.9%
≤90d 1239 -8.1% -16.8% 77% 58% -12.4%
all 1362 -2.5% -11.7% 79% 59% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 59% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 22% -19.0%
15% -27.9% 4% -26.8%
20% -35.0% 1% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,095.06 · official $1,095.06 (match) · 3500 history records