trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 90% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 21 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 95% | 0% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.3% | 0% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -17.9% | 0% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 0% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -33.1% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $44 | $44 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in June? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $35 | $35 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | Jun 02 | $133 | $0 | +0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of May 11 2026? | May 19 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch? | May 07 | $58 | $0 | +0% |
| Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 202 | Apr 17 | $114 | $0 | -0% |
| Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Apr 15 | $35 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Claude go down 3-5 times in April? | Apr 14 | $21 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Apr 14 | $82 | $0 | +0% |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Apr 06 | $136 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $480 end of March? | Apr 01 | $87 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on March 25? | Mar 26 | $96 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on March 21? | Mar 22 | $61 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 13? | Mar 21 | $52 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3? | Mar 07 | $104 | $0 | +0% |
| Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher world | Mar 04 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Artemis II launch by February 28? | Mar 04 | $33 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | Mar 04 | $83 | $0 | +0% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | Mar 04 | $102 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026? | Feb 28 | $103 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 16 above $20? | Feb 21 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)? | Feb 16 | $170 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 20 | Feb 15 | $22 | $0 | +0% |