Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:36:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x20b4…bfa2
sports · 262 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$159 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$116 · open +$211
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$761
Realized−$116
Unrealized+$211
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses106 / 153
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$860
Open positions3
Markets (closed)259 / 262
History coverage19d
Avg bet$209
Trades / day25.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 3 History 259 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,976
7 days+$537
14 days−$507
30 days−$116
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Kamil Majchrzak 37¢ 61¢ $450 $742 +$292 (+65%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan Pakistan 10¢ 8¢ $25 $19 −$6 (-25%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands Netherlands 32¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Mexico 34¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Sho Shimabukuro 52¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 38¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Juan Bautista Torres 49¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce Martin Landaluce 40¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Makarska: Barbora Palicova vs Elina Avanesyan Barbora Palicova 23¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 18¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score No 62¢ 0¢ $350 $0 −$350 (-100%)
Centurion: Semen Pankin vs Eliakim Coulibaly Semen Pankin 42¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Perugia: Liam Broady vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Liam Broady 12¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Emilio Nava 28¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Juan Manuel Cerundolo 27¢ 0¢ $146 $0 −$146 (-100%)
Tucuman: Karim Bennani vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Karim Bennani 60¢ 0¢ $292 $0 −$292 (-100%)
Centurion 2: Giles Hussey vs Philip Henning Giles Hussey 43¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima Brandon Nakashima 27¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 47¢ 0¢ $146 $0 −$146 (-100%)
Prostejov: Hynek Barton vs Taro Daniel Taro Daniel 43¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev Jesper de Jong 13¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
MLP St. Louis: Atlanta Bouncers vs St. Louis Shock Atlanta Bouncers 11¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Granollers/Zeballos vs Helioevaara/Patten Helioevaara/Patten 49¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel Jun 14 $204 +$291 +143%
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Jun 14 $169 +$271 +160%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 13 $41 −$40 -98%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $77 −$75 -98%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $153 −$150 -98%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Jun 13 $508 +$412 +81%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $253 +$159 +63%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $203 +$145 +71%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Jun 13 $205 −$200 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $61 −$60 -98%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $154 +$521 +340%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 13 $284 +$198 +70%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $350 −$159 -46%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $354 −$350 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $559 +$612 +110%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 12 $293 −$12 -4%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $305 +$296 +97%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $51 −$6 -11%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $205 −$200 -98%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Jun 12 $456 +$669 +147%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $306 −$211 -69%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $303 +$459 +152%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $156 +$147 +94%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $253 −$236 -93%
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Jun 12 $542 −$404 -74%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $203 −$200 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $153 −$4 -3%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $149 −$146 -98%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $558 −$149 -27%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $153 −$100 -66%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $202 +$131 +64%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $103 −$100 -98%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $43 +$9 +20%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $202 −$199 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $76 +$126 +165%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $26 −$25 -98%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $102 −$100 -98%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $152 +$133 +88%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $202 +$87 +43%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $254 +$251 +99%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $158 +$284 +179%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $102 −$89 -87%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton Jun 11 $178 +$244 +137%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $153 −$150 -98%
Lyon: Daniel Rincon vs Dali Blanch Jun 11 $202 +$130 +64%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 11 $302 −$46 -15%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $252 −$250 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $520 +$524 +101%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% −$273
other 7% +$308
crypto 0% +$59
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Kamil Majchrzak 60¢ $253 9m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel SELL Taro Daniel 99¢ $495 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili SELL Nikoloz Basilashvili 95¢ $440 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Nikoloz Basilashvili 36¢ $169 4h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Kamil Majchrzak 25¢ $204 4h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 40¢ $204 4h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan BUY Pakistan 10¢ $26 4h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Netherlands 32¢ $77 4h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $41 14h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 31¢ $77 14h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Switzerland 36¢ $153 19h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw SELL Felix Balshaw 89¢ $919 19h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Felix Balshaw 39¢ $204 21h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle SELL Jesper de Jong 100¢ $411 21h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Felix Balshaw 57¢ $304 22h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer SELL David Jorda Sanchis 99¢ $347 22h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY David Jorda Sanchis 57¢ $203 22h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 61¢ $253 24h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur BUY Adrian Mannarino 20¢ $205 24h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Alexander Bublik 26¢ $61 24h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel SELL Dane Sweeny 99¢ $675 25h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Dane Sweeny 22¢ $154 27h
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu BUY Yunchaokete Bu 58¢ $284 27h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 52¢ $254 27h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 62¢ $354 35h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 98¢ $1,171 35h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $559 40h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals SELL Seattle Mariners 57¢ $280 40h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 58¢ $293 40h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 99¢ $600 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 107 -2.7% -12.0% 43% 41% -4.9%
≤30d 259 -6.7% -15.6% 41% 39% -7.6%
≤90d 259 -6.7% -15.6% 41% 39% -7.6%
all 259 -6.7% -15.6% 41% 39% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 39% -7.6%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 35% -16.4%
15% -31.1% 31% -24.5%
20% -37.8% 27% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $761.04 · official $761.04 (match) · 495 history records