Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:16:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x20b8…0eff
crypto · 410 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$159 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$159 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$159
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses256 / 154
Open positions0
Markets (closed)410 / 410
History coverage2d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day946.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 410 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$120
7 days−$159
14 days−$159
30 days−$159
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$25 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$130
other 0% −$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $20 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-28.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 410 -21.2% -28.7% 62% 13% -11.5%
≤30d 410 -21.2% -28.7% 62% 13% -11.5%
≤90d 410 -21.2% -28.7% 62% 13% -11.5%
all 410 -21.2% -28.7% 62% 13% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover946.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.7% 13% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -35.5% 9% -20.0%
15% -41.8% 6% -27.7%
20% -47.5% 5% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2507 history records